Alexander Busse’s Post

LatAm Seed Stage Valuations Are Finally Coming Down – This is Good for Founders and VCs When the market correction started in early 2022 the first companies to see steep valuation declines were public equities, pre-IPO, and late-stage growth businesses. Over the following 18 months, valuation declines trickled down the alphabet until they seemed to hit a wall shielding pre-seed and seed companies whose valuations remained at 2021 levels. This is beginning to change. One of the main reasons for this change is that founders starting a business today are watching their peers who raised in 2021 struggle to sustain their valuations. Many 2021 businesses have resorted to internal bridge rounds, others are doing flat or down rounds, some have decreased burn significantly hoping to grow into their previous round’s high valuation, and yet others have had to fold. None of these scenarios is ideal. They tend to add a lot of stress to founders’ lives and in most cases lead to increased dilution. The business suffers as a consequence. Founders raising their Seed round today are noticing this trend and are adjusting valuations accordingly. This is the smart thing to do for a simple reason: Raising a Series A in 2024 is very different from 2021 In 2024 investors scrutinize traction at the A-round. They meticulously review KPIs, want to understand a path to profitability, double click on cash burn, and then look at what public market comps are trading at. None of that happened in 2021 where a strong team and a compelling vision for the business were enough. What does all this mean for 2024 Seed companies? The implication of raising at a very high valuation in 2024 is that you need to be very confident that you will be able to get enough traction in 24 months to defend a 2x or preferably 3x valuation increase from the previous round. This is easier to do if you start at $7m post vs. $20m post. Conservations between VCs and founders about valuation should focus on having an honest discussion about what needs to happen to raise the next round of financing and what traction and signs of product-market fit one needs to see to go out and raise successfully. Founders and VCs are finally taking note of these new market circumstances and both are better off for it. Disclaimer: There are always exceptions to the above. Some businesses truly require more capital at the early stages of the business in which case a higher valuation is warranted.

Ramon Durães 🚀🤖🌎

VP Engineering @ Specialist in Software Development, Entrepreneur in Technology and Startups | Fractional CTO Expert | AI Developer with Proven Impact

1mo

Alexander Busse Great reflection and adjustment is part of the journey.

Like
Reply

To view or add a comment, sign in

Explore topics