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🌊 ⚓ This week in futures: Steady the ship, bosun, we’re in for some rough seas! Our Trend Barometer retreated to 30, reflecting the challenging conditions. The SG Trend Index shows a modest 0.28% gain for July. The Capt'n is bracing for the turbulent ride ahead. Read on, Trend Followers, for the week's ripping yarn https://lnkd.in/gFjnMrtw Niels Kaastrup-Larsen #FuturesTrading #TrendFollowing #MarketTrends

🌊📷 This week in futures: The sails are billowing and winds are about. Our Trend Barometer climbs to 36, with the SG Trend Index now up 1.87% for July. Albatrosses are soaring and the Capt'n is happy. Read on Trend Followers for the ripping yarn this week 📷📷 https://lnkd.in/gPSNmBs2 Niels Kaastrup-Larsen #FuturesTrading #TrendFollowing #MarketTrends

Nothing spookier than the “Correlation = Causation” trap 🕳 👀 📈 Forecasters are often spotting correlations between various factors and commodity prices. But beware! Commodity markets are a complex web of factors, and undue trust in any single one can lead to ghastly misunderstandings 👻 🕸 Take European Chicken and the Pakistani Rupee. Stable analysts found a 97% inverse correlation, but you would never short the rupee to hedge a chicken position! Correlation isn’t causation 🍗 💱 🧙♀️ 🔮 Let’s untangle these misconceptions and help each other navigate away from disastrous forecasts and financial nightmares. Have you encountered forecasters falling into the “correlation-causation” trap? Share your stories and insights below! #CommodityForecasting #CorrelationVsCausation #RiskManagement

#Chartanlyse #Wheat #Matif Mai 2024 A decisive phase is emerging in the #wheat futures chart for May 2024. The price is approaching the upper limit of the established long-term downtrend channel, marked by the upper blue line. A break above this line could be a significant bullish signal and possibly herald the end of the long-term downtrend. The moving averages confirm this turning point momentum. Now that the price has broken above the 20-day line and is approaching the 50-day line, this indicates a short-term uptrend. The rise above the 50-day line could strengthen investors' confidence in a sustainable turnaround. The MACD emphasises this potential turning point. Despite a generally negative trend, the positive histogram shows that bullish forces are gaining strength. The MACD line above the signal line is a further indication that the selling pressure is easing. The RSI, which remains in neutral territory, provides no direct indication of overbought or oversold conditions, but confirms that the market is not prone to extreme positions and therefore offers room for movement in both directions. To summarise, the wheat futures market for May 2024 could be on the cusp of a trend reversal. A confirming breakout above the long-term downtrend channel and the crossing of the moving averages could be interpreted as signalling the start of an uptrend. However, caution is advised as a failure at these key levels could force the market back into bearish mode. Investors and traders should keep a close eye on developments and look for further confirmation of a sustained trend change. www.ks-agrar.de #WeizenFutures #MATIF #CommodityTrading #MarketAnalysis #AgriculturalMarkets #TrendAnalysis #TradingStrategies #FuturesMarket #GrainTrading #InvestmentTrends

The stock market is likely to continue its choppy trading until late Sept. once we see how the #FederalReserve reacts to the recent inflation data. We may see a good fourth quarter, if we can get some clarity from the Fed and a pause in these historic rate hikes.

Dive into this week's report where Niels Kaastrup-Larsen and I break down the latest movers and shakers in the futures markets! From the energy sector's notable drop to surging cocoa prices, we cover it all. Discover the trends driving market changes and gain insights to navigate these turbulent times. https://lnkd.in/gTt5Z6kR #USFuturesMarkets, #WeeklyTrendReport

Magnificent 7 influence on US indices continues to grow

Market is moving higher So is VIX One of them is lying

Our December Trend Following Report is Out! @RichB118 and I unravel the highs and lows in the 2023 markets. Some trend followers soared with commodities while others faced the challenges of heavy fixed income reliance. Will 2024 be the year of resurgence? https://bit.ly/3S4seJX

Oil prices inched down on Monday as concerns of prolonged interest rates resurfaced and lifted the dollar, offsetting support for oil markets from geopolitical tensions and OPEC+ supply cuts. Brent crude futures slipped 5 cents to $85.19 a barrel by 0417 GMT, after settling down 0.6% on Friday. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures were at $80.66 a barrel, down 7 cents. Gold prices edged up on Monday as Treasury yields fell, while investors eagerly key U.S. inflation data and comments from Federal Reserve officials throughout the week for fresh clues on the potential timing of the central bank’s interest rate cut. Meanwhile, in the Asian market, the Bank of Japan debated the possibility of a near-term interest rate hike in June, with one policymaker advocating for an increase without delay to address the risks of inflation overshooting expectations, as revealed in a meeting summary released on Monday. For more details, please visit our website and follow us on social media. https://lnkd.in/d74kgPar Trading derivatives carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all individuals. #STARTRADER #federalreserve #goldtrading #tradegold #crudeoil #tradeoil #oiltrading #OPEC #forex #trading #investing #stockmarket #buyshares #buystocks #bankofjapan