Arnulfo Ventura

Darden Restaurants recently reported its quarterly results, showcasing resilience amidst a challenging environment. While Olive Garden faced a decline in same-store sales for the second consecutive quarter, Darden's overall performance remained steady, with earnings per share surpassing expectations at $2.65 and revenue reaching $2.96 billion. Looking forward to fiscal 2025, Darden projects a promising outlook with expected earnings per share between $9.40 and $9.60 and anticipated net sales of $11.8 billion to $11.9 billion. The company's LongHorn Steakhouse segment notably reported a 4% increase in same-store sales, underscoring Darden's effective management and operational strength. With plans to invest $550 million to $600 million in capital expenditures, Darden is poised to enhance its offerings and maintain its competitive edge in the market. Read More Here: https://lnkd.in/eFgDC97p #hospitality #restaurants #technology #innovation Branded Hospitality Ventures Angelo Fama Jr. John Espy Dave George Daryl L. Cunningham Lisa McDowell Robert Anderson Ali Charri

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Want to know the story behind those unique Asian-inspired sparkling water flavors you've been seeing? I sat down with Sandro Roco of Sanzo on the Consumer Rundown podcast. We talked #Asian representation and voices, building a #beverage empire, and the importance of being a "good ancestor"! Listen to the full conversation – link in comments! #entrepreneurship #cpgindustry #beveragebusiness

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Boards of Directors – How Relevant To The Business Is The Board? In 2014, activist investor Starboard Value successfully replaced all 12 directors on the board of Darden Restaurants. The following shows the Darden incumbent board at the time of Starboard's proxy fight, Starboard’s value creation plan initiatives, the Starboard director nominees and the before and after performance (revenue, EBITDA, EBITDA margin and stock price). Note especially the direct relevance of each Starboard nominee to the industry or some aspect of the value creation plan. How often do you see this level of relevance on public company boards?

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Ready to play big? Unlock the billionaire playbook: Start with an Aged Shelf Corporation and master the art of influence WITHOUT ownership. 🏦✨ If you want to learn more. Click here to sign up for my next free webinar ⬇️

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A lot of you have heard me say "we aren't thematic investors EXCEPT when it comes to our consumer thesis and Vertikal Brands". So what does that mean exactly, and how did we choose to double down on outdoor specifically? I recently sat down with Matt Blevins who heads up the strategy for Clearview Capital, L.P. and we had the chance to talk about just that! Tune into our third episode of 'Coffee with Clearview' to learn more about how we got started in the space, and how we continue to partner with world-class outdoor consumer brands. #consumerprivateequity #consumerproducts #privateequity #outdoorenthusiast #outdoorbrands

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The real issue isn't the asset class itself, but rather selecting the right VC. Unlike other asset classes, the return dispersion in VC is immense. VCs that adopt a gambling approach often drag down the median returns. In contrast, those with a structured and disciplined investment thesis can significantly reduce exposure to losing companies while enhancing their upside potential by investing the right amount at the right valuation. Achieving favorable returns in VC requires a programmatic approach: 1. Great manager selection and access: Identifying and gaining access to top-tier managers is crucial. 2. Consistency across cycles: Long-term commitment and consistency in deployments across various market cycles are key. This doesn’t mean investing the same amount each year, but maintaining a relatively stable investment pace where the VC is able to invest for value not just a trend follower. Many LPs tend to commit more capital during peak periods (e.g., 2019-2021) and scale back during tougher times. This natural psychological behavior often results in suboptimal outcomes. Peak periods can lead to behavioral changes and the inclusion of 'tourist' investors, ultimately affecting valuations and returns. It's all about dollar-based risk-adjusted returns. Selecting the right VC with a disciplined investment approach can make all the difference. Consistent, strategic investments, rather than reactionary ones, are essential for capturing the best returns over the long term. Thoughts?

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Last week, I attended Houlihan Lokey's 2024 Global Consumer, Food & Retail Conference in New York. Here are some key takeaways that stood out to me. Continued Tailwinds in the Pet Industry: 🔹 Pet Owner Sentiment: With 92-96% of pet owners viewing their pets as family, there's increasing demand for *functional* treats, supplements, and innovative food formats like freeze-dried pet food, the fastest-growing segment within freeze-dry products. 🔹 Category Consolidation: Single-product and single-capability companies are merging into larger pet platforms, opening up M&A opportunities and filling portfolio gaps. 🔹 Expansion into the Cat Category: Dog-first companies are expanding into the cat category, where purchases are stickier (e.g., cat litter) due to the selective nature of pet cats. Rise of Preventative Wellness: 🔹 Increased Gym Visits: The rise in gym memberships and equipment utilization is driving up replacement rates. 🔹 Female Athlete Surge: The increase in female athletes is influencing market trends. 🔹 Customer Service and Amenities: High-quality customer service and amenities (e.g., towel service, childcare) are essential for retaining gym memberships. Personalized customer interactions enhance member loyalty. 🔹 Men’s Health Awareness: Growing focus on men’s health, addressing the issue of men suffering in silence. 🔹 HSA/FSA Approvals: The IRS and health insurance companies are increasingly approving preventative wellness expenses like gym memberships and fitness programs for HSA/FSA reimbursement. Franchising and Multi-Unit Asset Resilience: 🔹 Growth Despite High Interest Rates: Franchising and multi-unit assets in health and wellness for both humans and pets are rising despite the high interest rate environment. 🔹 Tech-Driven Analyses: Investing in advanced tech stacks enhances customer service and expands topline and margins through data-driven approaches. 🔹 Recurring Revenue Focus: Emphasis on creating sticky, recurring revenue streams through memberships, fostering habitual use, and offering services that are typically inconvenient or time-consuming to switch. I'm looking forward to seeing how these trends evolve in 2024! #PetIndustry #PreventativeWellness #Franchising #HealthAndWellness #TechInnovation #BusinessGrowth #Investing

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“When you have any signs of early demand pull, you have to follow it and work as hard as it takes to just make it happen.” This early company building advice from Filip Kaliszan is spot on, and it’s the Verkada founding team’s ethos in a nutshell. I’ve been able to see this up close by partnering with Filip over the years, but I’m so glad he generously shared his hard-earned lessons more publicly with other builders in this series for First Round Capital's PMF Method. Here are a few of my favorite takeaways: 🚧  𝗦𝗺𝗼𝗼𝘁𝗵 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗿𝗼𝗮𝗱 𝘄𝗶𝘁𝗵 𝗮 𝗿𝗼𝘂𝗴𝗵 𝗠𝗩𝗣: “The very first version looked very funny. It was a Raspberry Pi based camera. We just hacked it together from different parts — the supply chain was Amazon.com. We built maybe 100 of these little cameras and we gave them to friends and businesses we knew. That was never going to fit in a commercial environment, but man, it was so valuable to build it, because we could evaluate different streaming technologies and learn about the challenges of local storage. All these problems that we later encountered, we had already started solving. By the time the real product started selling, we had fewer bugs and ideas on how to navigate them. It just smoothed the road." 👷‍♂️ 𝗚𝗲𝘁 𝗼𝘂𝘁 𝗼𝗳 𝘆𝗼𝘂𝗿 𝗯𝘂𝗯𝗯𝗹𝗲 (𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝗼𝗻𝘁𝗼 𝗮 𝗹𝗮𝗱𝗱𝗲𝗿): “I remember flying to L.A. to install cameras at the Beverly Hills Equinox, one of our early customers. The gym closed at midnight, and we had until 5:00 AM to get the cameras installed. So next thing I know I'm buying some drills, getting up on a ladder and pulling cables myself. That client kept growing with us over the years because of the attention to detail we showed from day one. I've worked in the consumer space before. My perception of enterprise is that if you're willing to do the work, have the customer conversations, get on the plane and get out of your bubble to see how customers are using different solutions and build a picture of what will work for them, it's more of a well-defined process than it is a guessing game." ⚙️ 𝗟𝗶𝘀𝘁𝗲𝗻 𝗳𝗼𝗿 𝗽𝗿𝗼𝗯𝗹𝗲𝗺𝘀 𝘁𝗼 𝗮𝘃𝗼𝗶𝗱 𝗽𝗿𝗼𝗱𝘂𝗰𝘁 𝗯𝗹𝗼𝗮𝘁: “One of the mistakes that I see is sometimes folks listen to the customer for what they want as the solution, as opposed to listening to find out what the problem is. If you talked to our customers, on the surface I think what you might get back is that they want a sum of their favorite features from all of the competitors. But if you took the best features from all of our competitors and put it into one product, you'd build a bloated product with a bunch of not so great features. But if you dive a little deeper in that conversation, and you try to understand why they want these features, if you go to the customer and have them show you their workflow, and take notes about the things that are broken, that's when you start identifying the problems.”

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The face you make when you realize that you have become pretty good at sourcing off-market opportunities and have private equity and family office investors ready to back you, but you don’t have enough talent to take advantage of those opportunities. With that said, if you know of anyone in the commercial bakery, dry cleaning, food distribution, or commercial laundry space who is looking for board and/or C-level opportunities, please let me know. #boardadvisor #clevel #executives #commercialbakery #commerciallaundry #drycleaning #fooddistribution #privateequity #investmentbanking

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At last week’s ClimateTech Coffee 🚲 Bryan White and I were joined by Kimberly Gilbert, PhD to hear about her work on Carbon Neutralization and Ocean Storage (CNOS) through her company pHathom. Here’s a recap: The ocean naturally absorbs CO2 over time, but we’ve added so much that the ocean has become increasingly acidic. Ocean pH has dropped from 8.2 to 8.1 globally over the last hundred years, and as pH drops it becomes harder for coral-based organisms to form shells. To combat this, Ocean Alkalinity Enhancement (OAE) is an intervention that both reverses ocean acidification and removes CO2 from the atmosphere. Challenges with traditional OAE: - When you add the alkalinity into the ocean, it spreads out. It’s hard to measure the change in pH. - You don’t know exactly when the extra CO2 will be absorbed. Modeling and measurement companies are trying to help with this problem. Advantages of CNOS: - Co2 is captured directly at a coastal power plant or refinery, and then the concentrated Co2 is pumped into water that has limestone (and/or other alkaline materials) in it.  - This means the Co2 is dissolved onsite and the pH can be equilibrated onsite, which makes accurate measurement more feasible. Factors that affect progress:  - We’ll start seeing more companies enter in this space as the chemistry and its impacts are better understood and seen as safe  - Local and national permitting are a huge bottleneck - On the international permitting level, the London Protocol has a blanket ban on ocean geoengineering for anything except for research. There were good reasons for doing that, but it’s unclear who decides when that can change and the circumstances under which the ban is lifted. (Note: pHathom is not doing geoengineering; it’s doing water treatment on-site and releasing it back as ocean water) Open questions for the category/technology: - Can they come up with enough low-cost alkalinity sources, and get them in a way that doesn’t cause additional environmental damage or Co2 emissions?  - This approach will require pumping a lot of water. How much will that cost and how can the cost be driven down?  - Putting 100 plants’ worth of bicarbonate into the ocean is likely fine for ocean health relative to the climate benefit, but what is the point where the tradeoffs cross over? Some groups doing good work in this space:  [C]Worthy Carbon to Sea Initiative  University Research: UC Santa Barbara, University of Tasmania, GEOMAR, Dalhousie University, Scripps Join us for the next one in May! Details coming soon, and you can get updates by subscribing to the series page here: https://lnkd.in/g7DTGm2V

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The non-alcoholic drinks market continues to grow and grow (and mature). Check out recent insights + stats from our friends at Grüvi: March Off Premise Retail Sales: → $48.6M > Identical to February, up 23% YoY → You can see subcategory performance in the chart below. Gruvi predicts: → 30-35% of YoY NA category growth. → 25%+ in off-prem and 50%+ in on-prem. → Premium, high quality craft or import NA beers will capture most of the growth of the NA beer market. → Big bet on NA RTDs to surpass NA wines by end of year. Gruvi has some more great stats in their blog post (link in comments). I’m hearing this same type of growth from members of the Adult Non-Alcoholic Beverage Association (ANBA). There's been some questioning about the growth of the category because of the recent Chapter 11 bankruptcy by non-alc beverage retailer Boisson and the closing of their retail locations. I was going to share some thoughts on this but the Gruvi team summed it up well: “Having served as a supply partner for Boisson, and being intimately familiar with their retail locations, it became apparent that they faced challenges across their retail and e-commerce channels. Boisson positioned itself as the upscale destination for NA beverages, boasting premium locations and a curated assortment. However, despite the overall growth in the NA market, it remains predominantly composed of NA beer (80%) and NA wines/RTDs under $12 (10%). As larger retailers expanded their NA offerings to target the mainstream consumer—the 90% of the market as seen above - Boisson was left with a small addressable market. Unfortunately, the demand proved insufficient for Boisson to sustain its operations.” Andrea Hernández also has a great take on it in her most recent Snaxshot (link in the comments). The adult NA category is maturing. Brands that do not have good business models, have bad product-market, or average quality products will need to adapt or close their doors. And this is not a bad thing. Because what rises out of this are business and products that better serve the consumer. I’m always impressed by the continued release of higher and higher quality NA products, with each raising the bar for the category. And this is great for people looking to moderate or not drink alcohol for whatever reason, and in whatever situation that best suits them. The adult NA category is getting bigger and better each day. And ANBA, our members, and I are here to continue to create a world where everyone has access to great tasting adult non-alcoholic beverages to enjoy in every social situation. And that is something we can all celebrate! 🍾 🥂 🍻 You can join us in growing the category and this movement by visiting ANBA's website and signing up for a soon to launch newsletter (link in comments). And you can follow me, Marcos Salazar 🍺🍷🥃, (& click the bell under my profile banner) to get regular insights and news about NA drinks. ♻️ #Repost if you like this post :-)

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Climate change is changing our agriculture landscape and therefore the cost to consume our favorite things- especially coffee, which is why the work we are doing around organic cultivation with climate resilient varietals like robusta coffee is more important than ever. Thanks WSJ for speaking with me about this important work!

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Constellation Brands Inc. saw its stock climb during premarket trading on Thursday following an upward revision of its adjusted fiscal 2025 profit forecast, surpassing analyst predictions. The company also reported a robust fourth-quarter profit, driven by the stronger-than-anticipated performance of its beer division. CEO Bill Newlands highlighted the beer business's consistent volume growth over 56 quarters, coupled with impressive margins, although wine and spirits sales experienced a decline. https://lnkd.in/ggNU_G9r Constellation Brands Bill Newlands Branded Hospitality Ventures #Technology #Business #Innovation #AI #investing #venturecapital MarketWatch

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SAFE NOTES ARE NOW UNSAFE... OK so what is going to happen to the money that was poured into CPG Brands via these supposed SAFE Notes? Issue is that no priced round took place and now it is likely if it did happen it would be at a fraction of the valuation that was contemplated leading to massive dilution for the founder. Many have a cap...few have a floor. and unless they are converted it will be impossible to raise new money at any valuation. #cpg #safenotes #fundraising

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meati™ Raises $100 Million! 🌿 Embracing Opportunity in Plant-Based Innovation 🌿 Despite the current slowdown in VC investment in plant-based foods, Meati Foods recently secured a $100M Series C round, led by Revolution Growth and Grosvenor Food & AgTech (see article below). Key Takeaways for Startups & Brands: - Innovative Technology Matters: Meati’s MushroomRoot™ tech sets them apart in a crowded market. - Strategic Expansion is Key: Scaling their production and retail presence is driving momentum. - Investor Confidence: Large investments signal that there’s still trust in unique, scalable concepts. At PlantBased Solutions, we understand these trends and can help international plant-based companies launch and thrive in the USA. With experience in launching Better Foods, You Are What You Eat by Shinsegae, we're ready to support your expansion strategy. Let's connect to discuss how we can help find solutions for your business. #PlantBasedSolutions #MeatiFoods #PlantBasedMeat #FoodInnovation #VentureCapital #CPG, #VeganBusiness

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Speed of learning is one of the most important founder attributes — and sometimes that means getting support to move faster. I’ve seen folks like Carol do just this and unblock founders and their early growth. It’s powerful to ask for help!

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#Strawberry Summer Showdown: 2024's Top Picks! #BIGOBASKET BEST 1 TOP 1 NEAR YOU #SALESACHIN The summer heat is on, and what better way to beat it than with a delicious scoop (or two) of strawberry ice cream? This year, three major brands are vying for your frozen treat affection: Mother Dairy, Amul, and Milky Mist. Let's dive into their offerings and see which one reigns supreme! The Contenders 1)#MotherDairy: Ultimate Strawberry Crush (115ml cup - ₹40, 1L tub - Price not mentioned) - This classic favorite boasts of 6% strawberry fruit content, offering a familiar taste at a pocket-friendly price #MommaMiaMotherDairy #UltimateStrawberryCrush 2) #Amul Refreshing Strawberry Ice Cream (750ml Family Pack - ₹150) Amul brings the freshness with a whopping 16% strawberry fruit content. Perfect for sharing with the whole family! #TheRealTasteOfStrawberry #AmulIceCream 3) #MilkyMist: Prime Strawberry Ice Cream (750ml Buy 1 Get 1 Free - ₹270) - Milky Mist goes big on value with their BOGO offer. However, their strawberry content sits at 7%, so the flavor might be slightly subtler. #DoubleTheStrawberryDoubleTheFun #MilkyMist The Breakdown | Feature | Mother Dairy | Amul | Milky Mist | |-----------------|---------------|-----|-------------| | Price (per ml) | Lower | Mid-range | Lowest | | Strawberry Content | 6% | 16% | 7% | | Size Options | Cup & Tub | Family Pack | BOGO | The Verdict The winner depends on your priorities! For value Milky Mist's BOGO deal is unbeatable if you're looking to stock up For intense strawberry flavor Amul's 16% fruit content is the clear champion For a classic and budget-friendly options Mother Dairy's Ultimate Strawberry Crush is a reliable choice. #AajkuchToofaniFoodi : Tell us your favorite! We want to hear from you! Have you tried any of these strawberry ice creams? Which one stole your heart (and taste buds)? Share your experience and recommendations with us on social media using #AajkuchToofaniFoodi. Remember, MRP prices can fluctuate, so keep an eye out for deals! Happy summer and happy scooping!

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Here’s yet another shrink-to-grow portfolio move (speculated) in the food space.  If it wasn’t clear before, it is now: big food companies are VERY focused on improving growth and apparently shedding slow-growth anchors is a preferred lever in this environment. This strategy is understandable, because they can control a divestiture more than trying to make an acquisition, or a series of acquisitions.  Of course, they still need a counter-party to do a deal, but this specific business and others that have been announced, discussed or completed (e.g., Kellogg and cereal, Unilever and Ice Cream, General Mills and Yogurt) is big enough that the public markets are always a viable transaction partner. If you needed any more convincing (which you probably don't), the divestiture bandwagon suggests some conviction about future growth levers in the big food c-suite: 1. The pricing window is truly closed.  Pricing has driven topline in the recent past but now organic growth will have to come from other sources – and the only foreseeable catalysts for unit growth are lower pricing (no thank you, apparently) or innovation (see point 2). 2. Innovation confidence is low.  Small food companies are the innovators and growth-makers in this industry.  They are taking share and have been for over a decade.  Apparently the big guys do not expected this to change anytime soon. 3. Portfolio growth exposure = growth reality.  Big food companies are growth-takers.  They grow at the underlying growth rate of their combined geographies and categories – faster growth will come if they can improve this underlying growth exposure. https://lnkd.in/gaNBYeKS

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AB InBev has reported a rise of 2.6% in first-quarter sales, in line with forecasts, but the impact of a roughly year-old U.S boycott of key brand Bud Light continued to hurt the brewer. AB InBev also sold slightly more beer than anticipated, with volumes falling 0.6% versus the 1% anticipated by analysts. Own beer volumes declined by 1.3%, while non-beer volumes rose by 3.5%. Read more https://lnkd.in/dCKmtukA

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