Did you miss Alison Smart’s world-building workshop at the Hollywood Climate Summit? Watch the recording here, featuring insights from experts adrienne maree brown, Lynn Renee Maxcy, Josh Kline, Gabrielle Korn, and Billy Almon.
Probable Futures
Civic and Social Organizations
A climate literacy initiative that makes practical tools and educational resources available to everyone, everywhere.
About us
Probable Futures is a non-profit climate literacy initiative that makes practical tools, stories, and resources available online to everyone, everywhere. We offer educational materials, data tools, and thought leadership resources to empower individuals, organizations, and governments to prepare for the futures that are likely, and work to avoid the ones that carry the most profound risks for our world. We were founded in 2020 by a group of concerned leaders and citizens who started asking climate scientists direct, practical questions about what climate change would be like in different places around the world. Together with the Woodwell Climate Research Center, we built an online resource that makes the best available climate science actionable.
- Website
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https://probablefutures.org/
External link for Probable Futures
- Industry
- Civic and Social Organizations
- Company size
- 2-10 employees
- Type
- Nonprofit
- Founded
- 2020
- Specialties
- Climate Awareness, Education, Datascience, Climate Tools, Resilience, Risk Planning, Systems Thinking, Adaptation, Mitigation, Climate Communication, and Climate Justice
Employees at Probable Futures
Updates
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Want a great definition of climate risk, types of climate risk, and a framework for thinking through climate risk and vulnerability? Read our newest explainer:
What is climate risk? · Probable Futures
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Most media professionals’ jobs are to develop worlds, whether that’s building a set for a location they’ve never seen or creating a completely new universe many years from now. At the Hollywood Climate Summit, Alison Smart hosted a workshop on combining visions of the future with scientific facts. “We are at a point in time where we need to tell more stories that are bounded by what we know about how the climate works and how it might change in the future. We need to tell stories on this planet within the constraints of this planet because this is the best planet that we know of in this galaxy. It’s also amazing that we understand it. It’s not like AI—anyone can understand the fundamentals of climate science. We have a lot of information and we can use it to live within the boundaries of this planet so we can still live well in a changing climate if we think ahead, imagine, and prepare.” Watch the talk and panel discussion here:
A Climate Futures Worldbuilding Workshop
https://www.youtube.com/
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We often underestimate the complexity of natural systems, complexity that we in fact rely on to keep our environment stable and comfortable. Explore our science partner Woodwell Climate Research Center's work on old growth forests and their role in the climate:
Trees are superheroes hidden in plain sight. The oldest, biggest trees are pulling the most weight, which gives old-growth forests across the world a critical role in mitigating climate change. Globally, forests absorb nearly 16 billion metric tonnes of carbon dioxide per year, and currently hold 861 gigatonnes of carbon in their branches, leaves, roots, and soils. This summer, we’re diving deep into our work in Mature and Old Growth forests. 🌳 Will you join us?
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In his latest newsletter, Bill McKibbon quotes Spencer Glendon and Barney Schauble’s recent Fortune article on the ongoing meltdown of the insurance industry and how climate change undermines our assumptions. Read the newsletter here:
The Stakes
billmckibben.substack.com
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A look at Lebanon through our climate zones map explainer is your entry point to learning (or sharing with someone!) what you can do with our climate zones map and how to think about impacts as climate zones shift all over the world. https://buff.ly/3SbvUdK
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If you want to use climate maps but don't know where to start, read our explainers of places paired with a Probable Futures map. Our newest explainer looks at Lebanon through visualizations from our map of climate zones to give you a framework to think through what shifting climate zones could mean for a place at different degrees of warming: https://buff.ly/3SbvUdK
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🇱🇧 New explainer on climate zones in Lebanon 🇱🇧 Learn how to use the Probable Futures map of climate zones by exploring change and impacts in Lebanon, then apply the model to a place significant to you. Visualize how climate zones are shifting in Lebanon and across its borders at past, recent, and imminent degrees of warming. Get prompts to consider what those changes could mean for us from infrastructure to agriculture, and more.
Mapping climate zones in Lebanon · Probable Futures
https://probablefutures.org
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It’s great to see a convening of experts across disciplines to focus on climate. At the Hollywood Climate Summit last week, Alison Smart helped lead a world-building workshop and moderated a panel discussion with world builders from television, literature, and other cultural endeavors. We can’t wait to see more stories featuring realistic portrayals of climate change out in the world.
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