Happy 4th of July, #FAmily! 

Today’s Independence Day Underdog Fantasy MLB picks feature Minnesota Twins third baseman Jose Miranda and Texas Rangers starter Max Scherzer in an entry with a 3.3x multiplier. 

 

 

 

MLB Underdog Fantasy Picks Today: Thursday, July 4th

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Jose Miranda Underdog MLB Pick: Higher Than 1.5 Total Bases

I’m all in on the Twins today against Tigers starter Kenta Maeda. Miranda has crushed right-handed pitching this season, hitting .327 with a .393 wOBA and .216 ISO. 

Kenta Maeda, on the flip side, is allowing righties to own a .375 wOBA and a .538 slugging percentage. We are getting a slight boost on this play as well with a 1.1x multiplier.

 

 

 

Max Scherzer Underdog MLB Pick: Higher Than 27.5 Fantasy Points

Scherzer is working his way back to a full workload as he makes his third start of the season. Last time out he got up to 77 pitches as he faced the Baltimore Orioles. With him reaching 77 pitches, I would expect him to pitch at least 90 pitches this go around. 

While limited, Scherzer has still looked good which included him going over 27.5 fantasy points in his first start of the year where he only threw 50 pitches.  He had 22 fantasy points in his last outing which should make us assume that if he was allowed to pitch deeper into the game that he would have eclipsed the 27.5 fantasy score mark, which is what his line is set at today.

Yes, the Padres are a good offense and they’ve had success against right-handed pitching this year, but Scherzer is looking like the Scherzer we know. If that trend continues, this fantasy point total is far too low.

Total Multiplier - 3.3x

 

 

 

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