For our Independence Day PrizePicks MLB picks this 4th of July, we’ll target a “demon” projection for Texas Rangers starter Max Scherzer and a fantasy point projection for Minnesota Twins shortstop Carlos Correa.

 

 

 

PrizePicks MLB Picks Today: Thursday, July 4th

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Be sure to explore our latest selections and top PrizePicks MLB picks for today – let's dive in!

 

 

 

Max Scherzer PrizePicks MLB Pick: More Than 5.5 Strikeouts

This play here is betting on the player over the matchup. In two starts this season, Scherzer has finished with four strikeouts in each, but he was on pitch count limits in both outings, topping out at 77 pitches in his most recent start. Expectations today are that he will see at least 90 pitches if not have the restrictions removed entirely as he faces the San Diego Padres.

Now, this is where the player over the matchup comes into play. The Padres only have a 18% strikeout rate against right-handed pitching, but we know Scherzer is a high strikeout pitcher. 5.5 strikeouts would generally be on the low end of expectations for Scherzer when he is a full go, so why not take advantage of this total with boosted odds here today?

 

 

 

Carlos Correa PrizePicks MLB Pick: More Than 8.0 Fantasy Points

We are attacking Tigers starter Kenta Maeda today with righties in the Twins lineup so why not the red-hot Carlos Correa? On the season, Correa is hitting over .300 with an ISO nearing .190 against right-handed pitching this season. 

Kenta Maeda is allowing a .375 wOBA with a slugging percentage of .538 to right-handed hitters. With Correa hitting in the middle of the Twins lineup, he will have opportunities to both drive in runs and get driven in here today.

Total Multiplier - 4.25x

 

 

 

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