International Institute for Strategic Studies

Houthi weapons pose stiffer challenges than the mixture of small boats, mines, aircraft and ground-based anti-ship cruise missiles of the Tanker War 40 years ago. Analysis by Ethan J. Lee. go.iiss.org/Survival66-2

Can we control artificial intelligence in military tech? Podcast host William Alberque is joined by Dr Simona R. Soare, PhD to explore the dual-use nature of the technology and the role of international cooperation in governing military applications. 🎧 Tune in: https://lnkd.in/eJ3wCAdy #AI #MilitaryTech #Defense #DualUseTechnology

The impasse over the Ukraine-aid bill in the US suggests that a Biden re-election won’t be enough to salvage US strategic leadership. Analysis by Dana H. Allin and Jonathan Stevenson. | FREE TO READ https://lnkd.in/gcf3q55S

🎙 IISS expert Emile Hokayem joined FT's Guido Rachman to discuss Iran’s attack on Israel. What will the leaders of Israel and Iran be thinking about as they ponder their next move? And where does this leave the prospects for a ceasefire and hostage release in Gaza? Tune in now: https://lnkd.in/e5RnHzUK

While Modi is likely to win a third consecutive term, the BJP is targeting a two-thirds majority that could enable it to accelerate its Hindu-centric initiatives. n 19 April, the world’s most populous democracy begins voting in a general election that will most likely result in Narendra Modi’s return as prime minister for a third consecutive five-year term. The last prime minister to win a third term was Jawaharlal Nehru in 1962. A Modi victory would see the incumbent prime minister accelerate his plans to make India the third-largest economy in the world within the next five years and to expand India’s influence on the regional and global stage. However, to implement its Hindu-centric initiatives, the ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP)-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) would need a two-thirds majority in the Lok Sabha (lower house of parliament). This remains a challenge for the BJP. Read the latest analysis by Rahul Roy-Chaudhury and Sofiya Azad: https://lnkd.in/esckqtes

While China does not aspire to replace the United States in the Middle East, both China and the Arab states appear driven to loosen what they see as an undesirable US grip on the region. Jon B. Alterman on the ‘China Model’ in the Middle East. go.iiss.org/Survival66-2

In this #JapanMemo, Robert Ward is joined by Alessio Patalano, Veerle Nouwens and Nick Childs to analyse: ➡️ Japan’s policy efforts to secure national maritime interests ➡️ Japan’s policy to maintain and develop the Indo-Pacific maritime order ➡️ Future development of Japanese maritime policy 🎧 Tune in now: https://lnkd.in/eJ4G-xMX

🎙In the fourth episode of season 2, host William Alberque is joined by Simon Cleobury, Head of Arms Control and Disarmament at the Geneva Centre for Security Policy, to discuss the use of artificial intelligence and its connection to arms control. 🎧 Tune in now and find out more: https://lnkd.in/gSrjjwr3

Iran projects its influence in the Middle East through a variety of complex relationships with regional partners. IISS Archive | Publication 2019: 18-month long study based on field work, interviews and open source analysis. Read more: http://go.iiss.org/45K8nED

I wrote a new piece for the Financial Times about the recent escalation in the Middle East. "The onus is now on Israel. Its air defences performed well last night, which has reassured its population and bought it time to calibrate its response. Israeli officials already promised one of “unprecedented proportions”. For Benjamin Netanyahu, this is a net win: the Iranian attack has galvanised western support after weeks of mounting criticism of the brutal campaign in Gaza. The concern now is that Israel’s sense it has prevailed in this round may make it less rather than more risk averse. It is possible that Netanyahu will tell Washington: if you don’t let us go after Iran, let us invade Rafah, the southern Gaza city." “Relegated in all this are the Palestinians of Gaza. For all its performative support for them, Iran’s attack may well push the war there down the global agenda just as calls for an immediate ceasefire and greater humanitarian access were gaining momentum. Negotiations over the Israeli hostages, already at an impasse, are likely to be suspended for some time. As long as Washington decouples a ceasefire in Gaza from dangerous regional dynamics, things will get worse.” https://lnkd.in/d7RaRBvT