Final Emmy Predictions: Supporting Actress (Drama) — A Place for Voters to Double or Triple Dip From the Same Show?
Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.
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2024 Emmy Predictions:
Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Drama Series
Weekly Commentary (Updated: July 11, 2024): We have 217 names in the awards discussion for supporting drama actresses this year, compared to 196 last year and 319 and 385 in the previous two years. This category is likely to yield nominees from the fewest number of shows.
Netflix’s final season of its royal drama “The Crown” is expected to secure nominations for frontrunners Elizabeth Debicki and Lesley Manville, who occupy the top two spots. FX’s “Shōgun” follows closely, with three strong contenders—Fumi Nikaido, Moeka Hoshi, and Yuka Kouri—all having a fair shot at a nomination.
The competition is fierce between the women of Apple’s “The Morning Show” and HBO/Max’s “The Gilded Age.” Both shows have at least half a dozen potential nominees.
The strongest contenders for “The Morning Show” are Greta Lee, Holland Taylor, and Nicole Beharie. Meanwhile, “The Gilded Age” features Emmy favorites such as Christine Baranski and Cynthia Nixon. Based on recent trends, focusing on one standout from each show may not be the best-predicting strategy rather than dividing votes among multiple candidates, as Emmy voters no longer tend to vote that way.
For a possible surprise, keep an eye on Kristin Scott Thomas from “Slow Horses,” who could join her co-star Gary Oldman, or veteran Leslie Uggams from “Fallout,” especially if her co-stars Walton Goggins and Ella Purnell receive nominations in their respective categories.
This year, multiple performances across various genres might also get recognition. For example, Anthony Ramos received a nod for “Hamilton” despite his superior work in “In Treatment.” This trend could benefit someone like Emmy winner Archie Panjabi for “Hijack,” who also delivered a highly acclaimed performance in Hulu’s “Under the Bridge.”
Nominations-round voting is open from June 13 to June 24. Voting for peer group-specific panels (if applicable) takes place between June 28 and July 8. The Emmy nominations will be announced on July 17. The Creative Arts and Governors Gala ceremonies will be held on Sept. 7-8. The 76th Primetime Emmy Awards will air on ABC on Sunday, Sept. 15.
Read: Variety’s Awards Circuit for the latest Primetime Emmy predictions in the major categories.
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Image Credit: Courtesy of Netflix And the Predicted Nominees Are
Rank Performer and Series 1 Elizabeth Debicki — “The Crown” (Netflix) 2 Lesley Manville — “The Crown” (Netflix) 3 Fumi Nikaido — “Shōgun” (FX) 4 Moeka Hoshi — “Shōgun” (FX) 5 Christine Baranski — “The Gilded Age” (Max) 6 Cynthia Nixon — “The Gilded Age” (Max) 7 Greta Lee — “The Morning Show” (Apple TV+) Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Drama Series -
Image Credit: Prime Video Next in Line
Rank Performer and Series 8 Leslie Uggams — “Fallout” (Prime Video) 9 Holland Taylor — “The Morning Show” (Apple TV+) 10 Nicole Beharie — “The Morning Show” (Apple TV+) 11 Audra McDonald — “The Gilded Age” (Max) 12 Kristen Scott Thomas — “Slow Horses” (Apple TV+) 13 Eiza González — “3 Body Problem” (Netflix) 14 Yuka Kouri — “Shōgun” (FX) 15 Archie Panjabi — “Hijack” (Apple TV+) Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Drama Series -
Image Credit: Paramount+ Also in Contention
Rank Performer and Series 16 Julianna Margulies — “The Morning Show” (Apple TV+) 17 Rosalind Chao — “3 Body Problem” (Netflix) 18 Karen Pittman — “The Morning Show” (Apple TV+) 19 Sophia Di Martino — “Loki” (Disney+) 20 Amy Ryan — “Sugar” (Apple TV+) 21 Harriet Walter — “Silo” (Apple TV+) 22 Celia Rose Gooding — “Star Trek: Strange New Worlds” (Paramount+) 23 Carol Kane — “Star Trek: Strange New Worlds” (Paramount+) 24 Mary Elizabeth Winstead — “Ahsoka” (Disney+) 25 Kelli O’Hara — “The Gilded Age” (Max) Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Drama Series -
Eligible Performers (Supporting Drama Actress)
Image Credit: ED MILLER/NETFLIX **Officially submitted and on the Emmy nominations ballot.
- Christine Adams — “Hijack” (Apple TV+)
- Lashay Anderson — “Black Cake” (Hulu)
- Alani “La La” Anthony — “BMF”
- Nizhonniya Luxi Austin — “The Curse” (Showtime)
- Shinelle Azoroh — “Swagger” (Apple TV+)
- Birgundi Baker — “The Chi” (Showtime)
- Christine Baranski — “The Gilded Age” (Max)
- Marlyne Barrett — “Chicago Med”
- Irene Bedard — “The Green Veil” (The Network)
- Nicole Beharie — “The Morning Show” (Apple TV+)
- Natasha Behnam — “The Girls on the Bus” (Max)
- Meg Bellamy — “The Crown” (Netflix)
- Denée Benton — “The Gilded Age” (Max)
- Laura Birn — “Foundation” (Apple TV+)
- Rachel Blanchard — “The Summer I Turned Pretty” (Prime Video)
- Natasha Liu Bordizzo — “Ahsoka” (Disney+)
- Zabou Breitman — “The New Look” (Apple TV+)
- Ellen Burstyn — “Law & Order: Organized Crime”
- Jess Bush — “Star Trek: Strange New Worlds” (Paramount+)
- Tonantzin Carmelo — “La Brea”
- Keisha Castle-Hughes — “FBI: Most Wanted”
- Sydney Chandler — “Sugar” (Apple TV+)
- Rosalind Chao — “3 Body Problem” (Netflix)
- Olivia Cheng — “Warrior” (Max)
- Christina Chong — “Star Trek: Strange New Worlds” (Paramount+)
- Sarita Choudhury — “Fallout” (Prime Video)
- Chipo Chung — “Black Cake” (Hulu)
- Adelaide Clemens — “Justified: City Primeval” (FX)
- Kiersey Clemons — “Monarch: Legacy of Monsters” (Apple TV+)
- Ruth Connell — “Dead Boy Detectives” (Netflix)
- Abbie Cornish — “Tom Clancy’s Jack Ryan” (Prime Video)
- Andrea Cortés — “Mayans M.C.” (FX)
- Natasha Culzac — “Halo” (Paramount+)
- Kelley Curran — “The Gilded Age” (Max)
- Yaya DaCosta — “The Lincoln Lawyer” (Netflix)
- Alana De La Garza — “FBI”
- Laysia De Oliveira — “Special Ops: Lioness” (Paramount+)
- Elizabeth Debicki — “The Crown” (Netflix)
- Kate del Castillo — “The Cleaning Lady” (Fox)
- Loretta Devine — “Kingdom Business” (BET+)
- Sophia Di Martino — “Loki” (Disney+)
- Alyssa Diaz — “The Rookie”
- Phillippa Dunne — “The Woman in the Wall” (Showtime)
- Svetiana Efremova — “For All Mankind” (Apple TV+)
- Rosalind Eleazar — “Slow Horses” (Apple TV+)
- Christina Elmore — “The Girls on the Bus” (Max)
- Linda Emond — “Death and Other Details” (Hulu)
- Taissa Farmiga — “The Gilded Age” (Max)
- Diane Farr — “Fire Country” (CBS)
- Hilda Fay — “The Woman in the Wall” (Showtime)
- Tessa Ferrer — “Swagger” (Apple TV+)
- Betty Gabriel — “Tom Clancy’s Jack Ryan” (Prime Video)
- Eiza González — “3 Body Problem” (Netflix)
- Celia Rose Gooding — “Star Trek: Strange New Worlds” (Paramount+)
- Zyra Gorecki — “La Brea”
- Ari Graynor — “Winning Time: The Rise of the Lakers Dynasty” (Max)
- Sarah Greene — “Sexy Beast”
- Hanako Greensmith — “Chicago Fire”
- Tamsin Greig — “Sexy Beast”
- Carla Gugino — “The Girls on the Bus” (Max)
- Julianna Guill — “Joe Pickett”
- Anna Gunn — “Sugar” (Apple TV+)
- Odelya Halevi — “Law & Order” (NBC)
- Eve Harlow — “Star Trek: Discovery” (Paramount+)
- Leah Harvey — “Foundation” (Apple TV+)
- Laya DeLeon Hayes — “The Equalizer” (CBS)
- Christina Hendricks — “The Buccaneers” (Apple TV+)
- Sonita Henry — “Black Cake” (Hulu)
- Jennifer Love Hewitt — “9-1-1”
- Amy Hill — “Magnum P.I.”
- Aisha Hinds — “9-1-1”
- Gaby Hoffman — “Winning Time: The Rise of the Lakers Dynasty” (Max)
- Moeka Hoshi — “Shōgun” (FX)
- Aubri Ibrag — “The Buccaneers” (Apple TV+)
- Diana Lee Inosanto — “Ahsoka” (Disney+)
- Christina Jackson — “Swagger”
- Rose Jackson Smith — “Girls on the Bus” (Max)
- Louisa Jacobson — “The Gilded Age”
- Sakina Jeffrey — “Billions”
- Patricia Kalamber — “Power Book IV: Force”
- Carol Kane — “Star Trek: Strange New Worlds”
- Katherine Renee Kane — “FBI”
- Parveen Kaur — “Manifest”
- Mimi M. Khayisa — “The Witcher” (Netflix)
- Kiawentiio — “Avatar: The Last Airbender” (Netflix)
- Nicole Kidman — “Special Ops: Lioness” (Paramount+)
- Rinko Kikuchi — “Tokyo Vice” (Max)
- Hailey Kilgore — “Power Book III: Raising Kenan”
- Yuka Kouri — “Shōgun” (FX)
- Molly Kunz — “The Irrational”
- Hannah Love Lanier — “Special Ops: Lioness”
- Liza Lapira — “The Equalizer”
- Sharon Lawrence — “Joe Pickett”
- Hannah Leder — “The Morning Show” (Apple TV+)
- Greta Lee — “The Morning Show” (Apple TV+)
- Nanrisa Lee — “Quantum Leap”
- Chyler Leigh — “The Way Home”
- Lou Llobell — “Foundation”
- Alexis Louder — “The Changeling”
- Andie MacDowell — “The Way Home”
- Madeleine Madden — “The Wheel of Time” (Prime Video)
- Paula Malcomson — “Parish” (AMC)
- Camryn Manheim — “Law & Order”
- Lesley Manville — “The Crown” (Netflix)
- Julianna Margulies — “The Morning Show” (Apple TV+)
- Jessica Matten — “Dark Winds” (AMC)
- Gugu Mbatha-Raw — “Loki” (Disney+)
- Audra McDonald — “The Gilded Age” (Max)
- Pollyanna Mcintosh — “The Walking Dead: The Ones Who Live” (AMC)
- Cynthia Kaye McWilliams — “Average Joe” (BET+)
- Andrea Menard — “Sullivan’s Crossing”
- S. Epatha Merkerson — “Chicago Med”
- Martha Millan — “The Cleaning Lady”
- Emily Mortimer — “The New Look” (Apple TV+)
- Amy Morton — “Chicago P.D.”
- Wunmi Mosaku — “Loki” (Disney+)
- Donna Murphy — “The Gilded Age” (Max)
- Eve Myles — “Hijack” (Apple TV+)
- Melissa Navia — “Star Trek: Strange New Worlds”
- Becki Newton — “The Lincoln Lawyer”
- Fumi Nikaido — “Shōgun” (FX)
- Cynthia Nixon — “The Gilded Age” (Max)
- Tig Notaro — “The Morning Show”
- Tig Notaro — “Star Trek: Discovery”
- Stephanie Nur — “Special Ops: Lioness”
- Kelli O’Hara — “The Gilded Age” (Max)
- Sophie Okonedo — “Slow Horses” (Apple TV+)
- Archie Panjabi — “Hijack” (Apple TV+)
- Lauren Patten — “Death and Other Details”
- Carra Patterson — “Elsbeth” (CBS)
- Coral Peña — “For All Mankind” (Apple TV+)
- Karen Pittman — “The Morning Show” (Apple TV+)
- Tamara Podemski — “Outer Range” (Prime Video)
- Isabelle Poloner — “The Green Veil” (The Network)
- Imogen Poots — “Outer Range” (Prime Video)
- Adina Porter — “The Changeling” (Apple TV+)
- Clémence Poésy — “The Walking Dead: Daryl Dixon” (AMC)
- Jazz Raycole — “The Lincoln Lawyer”
- Diona Reasonover — “NCIS”
- Saskia Reeves — “Slow Horses” (Apple TV+)
- Zoë Robins — “The Wheel of Time” (Prime Video)
- Rebecca Romijn — “Star Trek: Strange New Worlds” (Prime Video)
- Yolonda Ross — “The Chi” (Showtime)
- Tyner Rushing — “For All Mankind”
- Amy Ryan — “Sugar” (Apple TV+)
- Jeri Ryan — “Dark Winds” (AMC)
- Ivanna Sakhno — “Ahsoka” (Disney+)
- Denise G. Sanchez — “Bosch: Legacy”
- Lily Santiago — “La Brea”
- Pardis Saremi — “Death and Other Details”
- Jessy Schram — “Chicago Med”
- Kristin Scott Thomas — “Slow Horses” (Apple TV+)
- Kyra Sedgwick — “The Summer I Turned Pretty” (Prime Video)
- Ainsley Seiger — “Law & Order: Organized Crime”
- Maggie Siff — “Billions”
- Sophie Skelton — “Outlander” (Starz)
- Sonja Sohn — “Will Trent” (ABC)
- Tracy Spiridakos — “Chicago P.D.”
- Travina Springer — “The Irrational”
- Marina Squerciati — “Chicago P.D.”
- Veronica St. Clair — “La Brea”
- Roxy Sternberg — “FBI: Most Wanted”
- Ptosha Storey — “Tyler Perry’s The Oval”
- Serinda Swan — “Reacher”
- Eliza Taylor — “Quantum Leap”
- Holland Taylor — “The Morning Show” (Apple TV+)
- Mia Threapleton — “The Buccanneers”
- Jennifer Tilly — “Chucky” (Syfy)
- Tamera Tomakili — “Winning Time: The Rise of the Lakers Dynasty” (Max)
- Frances Tomelty — “The Woman in the Wall” (Showtime)
- Josie Totah — “The Buccaneers” (Apple TV+)
- Lorraine Toussaint — “The Equalizer” (CBS)
- Danielle Moné Truitt — “Law & Order: Organized Crime”
- Leslie Uggams — “Fallout” (Prime Video)
- Shantel VanSanten — “FBI: Most Wanted”
- Vinessa Vidotto — “FBI: International”
- Riley Voelkel — “Hightown”
- Jill Wagner — “Special Ops: Lioness”
- Quvenzhané Wallis — “Swagger”
- Harriet Walter — “Silo” (Apple TV+)
- Adrienne Warren — “Black Cake” (Hulu)
- Hikmah Warsame — “The Curse” (Showtime)
- Imogen Waterhouse — “The Buccaneers”
- Kelli Williams — “Found” (NBC)
- Maisie Williams — “The New Look” (Apple TV+)
- Eva-Jane Willis — “FBI: International”
- Mary Elizabeth Winstead — “Ahsoka” (Disney+)
- Mary Wiseman — “Star Trek: Discovery” (Paramount+)
- Christina Wolfe — “FBI: International”
- Erika Woods — “Power Book III: Raising Kenan”
- Cynthy Wu — “For All Mankind”
- Mari Yamamoto — “Monarch: Legacy of Monsters” (Apple TV+)
- Elizabeth Yu — “Avatar: The Last Airbender” (Netflix)
- Angela Zhou — “Death and Other Details” (Hulu)
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More Information (Supporting Drama Actress)
Image Credit: Apple TV+ 2023 category winner: Jennifer Coolidge — “The White Lotus” (Max) — Season 2
2024 Emmy Awards Calendar and Timeline (all dates are subject to change)
- Eligibility period: June 1, 2023 – May 31, 2024
- Feb. 29: Submissions open
- May 9: Deadline for programs identifying as Primetime programming to upload all entry materials.
- June 13: Nominations-round voting begins
- June 24: Nominations-round voting ends at 10:00 p.m. PT
- June 28 – July 8: Voting for peer group-specific top ten rounds panels (if applicable)
- July 17: Primetime Emmy nominations are announced.
- July 24: Deadline for errors and omissions to the nominations.
- August 5: Find-round videos available for viewing.
- August 15: Final-round voting begins.
- August 26: Final-round voting ends at 10:00 p.m. PST.
- Sept. 7-8: Creative Arts Emmy Awards and Governors Gala
- Sunday, Sept. 15: 76th Primetime Emmy Awards to air on ABC.
Emmy Prediction Categories
2024 Primetime Emmy Prediction Categories About the Primetime Emmy Awards
The Primetime Emmy Awards, commonly known as the Emmys, are awarded by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences (ATAS). Established in 1949, these celebrate outstanding achievements in American primetime television. The Emmys are categorized into three divisions: the Primetime Emmy Awards for performance and production excellence; the Primetime Creative Arts Emmy Awards, recognizing achievements in artistry and craftsmanship; and the Primetime Engineering Emmy Awards, which honor significant engineering and technological advancements. The eligibility period typically extends from June 1 to May 31 each year. The Television Academy hosts the Emmys and has over 20,000 members across 30 professional peer groups, including performers, directors, producers, art directors, artisans and executives.