There is increasing concern that climate change poses an existential risk to humanity.
Understanding these worst-case scenarios is essential for good risk management. However�…

Prudent risk management requires consideration of bad-to-worst-case scenarios. Yet, for
climate change, such potential futures are poorly understood. Could anthropogenic climate�…

Many have claimed that climate change is an imminent threat to humanity, but there is no
way to verify such claims. This is concerning, especially given the prominence of some of�…

The systemic risk induced by climate change represents one of the most prominent threats
facing humanity and has attracted increasing attention since the outbreak of the COVID-19�…

Climate change is widely recognized as a major risk to societies and natural ecosystems but
the high end of the risk, ie, where risks become existential, is poorly framed, defined, and�…

A comprehensive assessment of the impacts of climate change on agro-ecosystems over
this century is developed, up to 2080 and at a global level, albeit with significant regional�…

Because of concerns that ongoing climate change could lead to a possible collapse of
human civilization, the topic of societal (civilization) collapse has emerged as especially�…

Climate and agriculture have played an interconnected role in the rise and fall of historical
civilizations. Our modern food system, based on open-environment production and�…

The literature on the costs of climate change often draws a link between climatic “tipping
points” and large economic shocks, frequently called “catastrophes.” The phrase “tipping�…

Virtually all climate monitoring and forecasting efforts concentrate on hazards rather than on
impacts, while the latter are a priority for planning emergency activities and for the�…