Radiative forcing of carbon dioxide, methane, and nitrous oxide: A significant revision of the methane radiative forcing

M Etminan, G Myhre, EJ Highwood…�- Geophysical Research�…, 2016 - Wiley Online Library
M Etminan, G Myhre, EJ Highwood, KP Shine
Geophysical Research Letters, 2016Wiley Online Library
New calculations of the radiative forcing (RF) are presented for the three main well‐mixed
greenhouse gases, methane, nitrous oxide, and carbon dioxide. Methane's RF is particularly
impacted because of the inclusion of the shortwave forcing; the 1750–2011 RF is about 25%
higher (increasing from 0.48 W m− 2 to 0.61 W m− 2) compared to the value in the
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) 2013 assessment; the 100 year global
warming potential is 14% higher than the IPCC value. We present new simplified�…
Abstract
New calculations of the radiative forcing (RF) are presented for the three main well‐mixed greenhouse gases, methane, nitrous oxide, and carbon dioxide. Methane's RF is particularly impacted because of the inclusion of the shortwave forcing; the 1750–2011 RF is about 25% higher (increasing from 0.48 W m−2 to 0.61 W m−2) compared to the value in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) 2013 assessment; the 100 year global warming potential is 14% higher than the IPCC value. We present new simplified expressions to calculate RF. Unlike previous expressions used by IPCC, the new ones include the overlap between CO2 and N2O; for N2O forcing, the CO2 overlap can be as important as the CH4 overlap. The 1750–2011 CO2 RF is within 1% of IPCC's value but is about 10% higher when CO2 amounts reach 2000 ppm, a value projected to be possible under the extended RCP8.5 scenario.
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