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Observational Study
. 2023 Apr 21;23(1):190.
doi: 10.1186/s12887-023-03997-0.

Multicolored MIS-C, a single-centre cohort study

Affiliations
Observational Study

Multicolored MIS-C, a single-centre cohort study

Petra Varga et al. BMC Pediatr. .

Abstract

Background: The aim of this study was to investigate the clinical and laboratory parameters that can predict the severity of Multisystem Inflammatory Syndrome in Children (MIS-C) at admission.

Methods: We conducted a single-center, partly retrospective, partly prospective, observational cohort study between November 1, 2020 and December 31, 2021, which included patients aged from 1 month to 19 years, meeting the diagnostic criteria of MIS-C. We categorized the patients into three subgroups based on clinical and laboratory markers and assessed the predictive value of these factors in terms of ICU administration and cardiac abnormalities.

Results: 53 patients were classified in the following subgroups: Kawasaki-like disease (group 1) (47.2%, n = 25), shock with or without acute cardiac dysfunction (group 2) (32%, n = 17), fever and inflammation (group 3) (20.8%, n = 11). Subgroup analysis revealed that patients with shock and KD at initial presentation had significantly more severe manifestation of MIS-C requiring intensive care unit (ICU) treatment. Of the initial laboratory values, only CRP showed a significant difference between the 3 clinical groups, being lower in group 3. 52.6% of patients were admitted to the ICU. The median length of ICU stay was 3 days (range 3-20). ICU admission was more likely in patients with shortness of breath, renal failure (AKI) and patients with significantly increased concentrations of ferritin, D-dimer, INR and significantly milder increase concentration of fibrinogen. We found that fibrinogen and ferritin levels are independent risk factors for ICU admission. Cardiac abnormalities were found in 56.6% of total (30/53), with the following findings: decreased left ventricular function (32%), coronary abnormality (11.3%), pericardial effusion (17%), arrhythmia (32.1%) and mitral regurgitation (26.6%). Diarrhea and conjunctivitis at the initial presentation with significantly elevated CRP, Pro-BNP and blood pH concentrations were found to be a potential predisposing factor for decreased cardiac function while Pro-BNP and pH were independent risk factors for MIS-C. Regardless of the initial symptoms of MIS-C, the outcome was generally favorable.

Conclusions: Clinical characteristics and baseline laboratory values ​​may help identify patients at increased risk for severe disease outcome, such as need for intensive care, presence of shock and decreased cardiac function.

Trial registration: Participation consent was not reqired and ethical considerations were unnecessary, since we did not perform any extra interventions, only the necessary and usual therapeutic and diagnostic methods were used.

Keywords: COVID-19 in children; MIS-C; Multisystem inflammatory syndrome in children; SARS-CoV-2.

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Conflict of interest statement

The authors declare no competing interests.

Figures

Fig. 1
Fig. 1
To demonstrate the predictive power of our regression model, we created a ROC curve using the predictive probabilities from the multivariate logistic regression model (Table 4). The area under the ROC curve was 0.817
Fig. 2
Fig. 2
To demonstrate the predictive power of our regression model, we created a ROC curve using the predictive probabilities from the multivariate logistic regression model (Table 6). The area under the ROC curve was 0.953, which indicates good prediction power

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