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Comparative Study
. 2010 Sep 23;363(13):1203-10.
doi: 10.1056/NEJMoa1000727.

Effect of screening mammography on breast-cancer mortality in Norway

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Free article
Comparative Study

Effect of screening mammography on breast-cancer mortality in Norway

Mette Kalager et al. N Engl J Med. .
Free article

Abstract

Background: A challenge in quantifying the effect of screening mammography on breast-cancer mortality is to provide valid comparison groups. The use of historical control subjects does not take into account chronologic trends associated with advances in breast-cancer awareness and treatment.

Methods: The Norwegian breast-cancer screening program was started in 1996 and expanded geographically during the subsequent 9 years. Women between the ages of 50 and 69 years were offered screening mammography every 2 years. We compared the incidence-based rates of death from breast cancer in four groups: two groups of women who from 1996 through 2005 were living in counties with screening (screening group) or without screening (nonscreening group); and two historical-comparison groups that from 1986 through 1995 mirrored the current groups.

Results: We analyzed data from 40,075 women with breast cancer. The rate of death was reduced by 7.2 deaths per 100,000 person-years in the screening group as compared with the historical screening group (rate ratio, 0.72; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.63 to 0.81) and by 4.8 deaths per 100,000 person-years in the nonscreening group as compared with the historical nonscreening group (rate ratio, 0.82; 95% CI, 0.71 to 0.93; P<0.001 for both comparisons), for a relative reduction in mortality of 10% in the screening group (P=0.13). Thus, the difference in the reduction in mortality between the current and historical groups that could be attributed to screening alone was 2.4 deaths per 100,000 person-years, or a third of the total reduction of 7.2 deaths.

Conclusions: The availability of screening mammography was associated with a reduction in the rate of death from breast cancer, but the screening itself accounted for only about a third of the total reduction. (Funded by the Cancer Registry of Norway and the Research Council of Norway.)

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Comment in

  • Screening mammography--a long run for a short slide?
    Welch HG. Welch HG. N Engl J Med. 2010 Sep 23;363(13):1276-8. doi: 10.1056/NEJMe1008369. N Engl J Med. 2010. PMID: 20860510 No abstract available.
  • More on screening mammography.
    Jørgensen KJ, Zahl PH, Gøtzsche PC. Jørgensen KJ, et al. N Engl J Med. 2011 Jan 20;364(3):284; author reply 285-6. doi: 10.1056/NEJMc1011881. N Engl J Med. 2011. PMID: 21247320 No abstract available.
  • More on screening mammography.
    Fletcher SW, Elmore JG. Fletcher SW, et al. N Engl J Med. 2011 Jan 20;364(3):283; author reply 285-6. doi: 10.1056/NEJMc1011881. N Engl J Med. 2011. PMID: 21247321 No abstract available.
  • More on screening mammography.
    Duffy SW, Smith RA. Duffy SW, et al. N Engl J Med. 2011 Jan 20;364(3):283; author reply 285-6. doi: 10.1056/NEJMc1011881. N Engl J Med. 2011. PMID: 21247322 No abstract available.
  • More on screening mammography.
    van Ravesteyn NT, Heijnsdijk EA, de Koning HJ. van Ravesteyn NT, et al. N Engl J Med. 2011 Jan 20;364(3):282-3; author reply 285-6. doi: 10.1056/NEJMc1011881. N Engl J Med. 2011. PMID: 21247323 No abstract available.
  • More on screening mammography.
    Burke JP, Barry M, Kell MR. Burke JP, et al. N Engl J Med. 2011 Jan 20;364(3):281-2; author reply 285-6. doi: 10.1056/NEJMc1011881. N Engl J Med. 2011. PMID: 21247324 No abstract available.

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