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Who’s ahead in the national polls?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: general election, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

July 7-8
1,370RV
July 7-8
1,370RV
Shapiro
38%
Shapiro
38%

Shapiro

38%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Trump+8
July 7-8
1,370RV
July 7-8
1,370RV
Warren
39%
Warren
39%

Warren

39%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+10
July 7-8
1,370RV
July 7-8
1,370RV
Gore
42%
Gore
42%

Gore

42%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Trump+5
July 7-8
1,370RV
July 7-8
1,370RV
H. Clinton
41%
H. Clinton
41%

H. Clinton

41%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Trump+7
July 7-8
1,370RV
July 7-8
1,370RV
Sanders
42%
Sanders
42%

Sanders

42%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Trump+6
July 7-8
1,370RV
July 7-8
1,370RV
Buttigieg
39%
Buttigieg
39%

Buttigieg

39%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+10
July 7-8
1,370RV
July 7-8
1,370RV
Whitmer
38%
Whitmer
38%

Whitmer

38%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Trump+10
July 7-8
1,370RV
July 7-8
1,370RV
Newsom
40%
Newsom
40%

Newsom

40%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Trump+8
July 7-8
1,370RV
July 7-8
1,370RV
Harris
43%
Harris
43%

Harris

43%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+6
July 7-8
1,370RV
July 7-8
1,370RV
Biden
40%
Biden
40%

Biden

40%

Trump

44%

Kennedy

6%

West

1%

Stein

1%
44%
TrumpTrump+4
July 7-8
1,370RV
July 7-8
1,370RV
Biden
50%
Biden
50%

Biden

50%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Even
July 5-7
11,323RV
July 5-7
11,323RV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

44%
44%
Trump  Trump+2
July 2-6
1,000LV
July 2-6
1,000LV
H. Clinton
43%
H. Clinton
43%

H. Clinton

43%

Trump

41%
41%
Trump  H. Clinton+2
July 2-6
1,000LV
July 2-6
1,000LV
Newsom
37%
Newsom
37%

Newsom

37%

Trump

40%
40%
Trump  Trump+3
July 2-6
1,000LV
July 2-6
1,000LV
Whitmer
36%
Whitmer
36%

Whitmer

36%

Trump

40%
40%
Trump  Trump+4
July 2-6
1,000LV
July 2-6
1,000LV
Harris
42%
Harris
42%

Harris

42%

Trump

41%
41%
Trump  Harris+1
July 2-6
1,000LV
July 2-6
1,000LV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

43%
43%
Trump  Trump+1
July 2-4
4,000RV
July 2-4
4,000RV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

44%
44%
Trump  Trump+2
June 28-July 4
6,199A
June 28-July 4
6,199A
Biden
31%
Biden
31%

Biden

31%

Trump

34%
34%
Trump  Trump+3
July 1-3
1,000LV
July 1-3
1,000LV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Trump+5
July 1-3
1,000LV
July 1-3
1,000LV
Harris
38%
Harris
38%

Harris

38%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+11
July 1-3
1,000LV
July 1-3
1,000LV
Biden
37%
Biden
37%

Biden

37%

Trump

43%

Kennedy

7%

West

2%

Stein

2%

Oliver

2%
43%
TrumpTrump+6
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Candidate is an incumbent

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Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

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