Shermon Cruz

Metro Manila, National Capital Region, Philippines Impormasyon ng Pagkontak
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Shermon Cruz is the Founder, Executive Director, and Chief Futurist of the Center for…

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Karanasan at Edukasyon

  • Center for Engaged Foresight (CEF)

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Mga Publikasyon

  • Alternative futures of global governance: scenarios and perspectives from the Global South

    Foresight

    The purpose of this paper is to provide a critical and informative exploration of the emerging roles and rising influence of the Global South in shaping the future of global governance. Specifically, it inquires into the following questions: How is the Global South impacting the way we govern globally? What are the pushers, pulls and weights to the futures of global governance? Using Jim Dator’s alternative futures archetype, what is the future of global governance? What are the emerging issues…

    The purpose of this paper is to provide a critical and informative exploration of the emerging roles and rising influence of the Global South in shaping the future of global governance. Specifically, it inquires into the following questions: How is the Global South impacting the way we govern globally? What are the pushers, pulls and weights to the futures of global governance? Using Jim Dator’s alternative futures archetype, what is the future of global governance? What are the emerging issues and trends?

    This paper highlights the emerging roles and perspectives of the Global South in global governance. It identifies some “trading zones” and “emerging issues” that may inspire actors to create new global governance spaces, innovate alternative narratives and design new frameworks of global governance.

    See publication
  • City Futures for City Leaders Penang Malaysia

    Journal of Futures Studies

    Cities have emerged as change agents towards sustainable futures. Discussion about its
    size, food routes, transportation, health, climate change and community resilience has shifted
    the way cities are perceived into the future. Questions persist such as: How do we create the
    inclusive city? How do cities ensure spatial justice and equal access to urban resources and
    opportunities amidst the impacts of climate change? How do we link strategic foresight to
    urban governance and…

    Cities have emerged as change agents towards sustainable futures. Discussion about its
    size, food routes, transportation, health, climate change and community resilience has shifted
    the way cities are perceived into the future. Questions persist such as: How do we create the
    inclusive city? How do cities ensure spatial justice and equal access to urban resources and
    opportunities amidst the impacts of climate change? How do we link strategic foresight to
    urban governance and strategy development? These are some of the big questions that decision-
    makers, thought leaders, academics and city dwellers continue to explore.

    Other authors
    • Cesar Villanueva
    See publication
  • Possible Scenarios on the Future of the Panatag Shoal (Huangyan Island/Scarborough Shoal) Controversy using Jim Dator’s Four Archetypes of Alternative Futures

    Journal of Futures Studies

    Leading scholars of international relations argued that the West Philippine Sea dispute (South
    China Sea) was a tinderbox waiting to happen. Many analysts fear that the dispute could lead to a direct military conflict if tensions remain at the Panatag shoal. Recently, public interest in the disputed island resurfaced when China, the Philippines and Vietnam traded accusations of repeated incursions. The disputed triangle chain of reefs have caused deep diplomatic divide between the six…

    Leading scholars of international relations argued that the West Philippine Sea dispute (South
    China Sea) was a tinderbox waiting to happen. Many analysts fear that the dispute could lead to a direct military conflict if tensions remain at the Panatag shoal. Recently, public interest in the disputed island resurfaced when China, the Philippines and Vietnam traded accusations of repeated incursions. The disputed triangle chain of reefs have caused deep diplomatic divide between the six claimant nations. The tension that was once mutual is now visual and magnified by the sporadic show of deception and force by the Philippines, China, Vietnam and Taiwan at the diplomatic and military levels. The spat is now the news hour and the remarkable story line of Asia. The Panatag Island dispute has disrupted the relative peace of the region and will, in a multifaceted way, affect the future of Asia. This paper explored possible scenarios on the future of the Panatag island controversy. Using Jim Dator’s four archetypes of alternative futures it asked the questions what are the possible scenarios in Asia when viewed from the Panatag Island controversy? What are the consequences of a continued economic growth, collapse, conserver and transformation scenarios at the Panatag Island? What might happen if conflict escalates and worst case scenario eventuate? What are the likely impacts of these scenarios on other regional disputes like the Senkaku Islands (Diaoyu Islands) and the Takeshima Islands (Dokdo Islands) chain of island dispute? What are the likely impacts of the scenarios on the future of US-China relations? What scenario needs to happen for claimant nation-states to reduce the possibility of direct military conflict and prevent war and for the region to advance demilitarization, reconciliation and convergence to resolve the dispute?

    See publication
  • Peering into the Futures of Liberal Arts

    Journal of Futures Studies

    This paper peers into the futures of liberal arts and articulates numerous contexts engaged in shaping the futures of liberal arts. It sought to answer the following questions: Is liberal arts likely to face extinction? Are there other liberals arts contexts other than the Western liberal arts model? Is there such a thing as a non-Western framework of liberal arts education? And can it be renewed, reinterpreted, redefined or translated in the context of the other, beyond the Western tradition?…

    This paper peers into the futures of liberal arts and articulates numerous contexts engaged in shaping the futures of liberal arts. It sought to answer the following questions: Is liberal arts likely to face extinction? Are there other liberals arts contexts other than the Western liberal arts model? Is there such a thing as a non-Western framework of liberal arts education? And can it be renewed, reinterpreted, redefined or translated in the context of the other, beyond the Western tradition? If so, what are its nuances, constraints, intricacies, hopes and futures? What are the futures of non-Western and Western liberal arts models?

    Debates and discussions about the future of liberal arts have been going on mainly in the net and its future is being seen in the way that its Western proponents want it to be – a liberal arts that is useful in the workplace and promotes individualism and freedom of choice as well. Non-Western academics, however, see different patterns and values as liberal arts now becomes culture bound. Additionally, they insist that it must go beyond the current view and accentuate liberal arts cultivate one’s identity and nurtures skills for life.

    See publication

Mga proyekto

  • UNESCO Bangkok's Rethinking Education through Imagining Futures Scenarios

    The workshop Rethinking Education through Imagining Future Scenarios was organized by UNESCO Bangkok and the Faculty of Education, Department of Lifelong Learning, Chulalongkorn University, on 2-5 September 2015 at Chulalongkorn University, Bangkok Thailand. The workshop was attended by a total of 40 participants which included non-formal education practitioners, UNESCO staff from Paris and Bangkok, and professors and graduate students from the Faculty of Education at Chulalongkorn University…

    The workshop Rethinking Education through Imagining Future Scenarios was organized by UNESCO Bangkok and the Faculty of Education, Department of Lifelong Learning, Chulalongkorn University, on 2-5 September 2015 at Chulalongkorn University, Bangkok Thailand. The workshop was attended by a total of 40 participants which included non-formal education practitioners, UNESCO staff from Paris and Bangkok, and professors and graduate students from the Faculty of Education at Chulalongkorn University. Riel Miller of UNESCO Paris together with a team of international foresight experts namely Shermon Cruz, Director, Philippine Center for Foresight Education and Innovation Research, Northwestern University; Roumiana Gotseva, Managing Director, Centre for Strategic Foresight, Bulgaria; and Anita Sykes-Keller, Director, Designer Futures, Australia, facilitated the group activities. The objectives of the workshop were to introduce strategic foresight/ anticipatory thinking as a tool to rethink and transform education and learning; connect community-based learning and non-formal education practitioners and engage them in the exploration and construction of future scenarios for community-based learning and non-formal education; and generate new ideas, questions and perspectives on community-based learning and non-formal education.

    See project
  • Transforming Philippine Cities: An Integrative Foresight Course for Women City Leaders

    The Philippine Center for Foresight Education and Innovation Research (PhilForesight) of Northwestern University in collaboration with the World Futures Studies Federation and the UNSECO Participation Programme, Step Beyond Australia and the Center for Engaged Foresight held a two-day workshop entitled Transforming Philippine Cities: An Integrative Foresight Course for Women City Leaders, hosted by University of the Philippines (UNP) in Vigan City, Ilocos Norte, last June 26-27. 41…

    The Philippine Center for Foresight Education and Innovation Research (PhilForesight) of Northwestern University in collaboration with the World Futures Studies Federation and the UNSECO Participation Programme, Step Beyond Australia and the Center for Engaged Foresight held a two-day workshop entitled Transforming Philippine Cities: An Integrative Foresight Course for Women City Leaders, hosted by University of the Philippines (UNP) in Vigan City, Ilocos Norte, last June 26-27. 41 participants, mostly women, from local and national government agencies (LGUs, NEDA) as well as CSOs (Civil Service Organizations) and from the Academe attended the course. The futures course is one of the key events of the University of Northern Philippines 50th founding anniversary celebration.

    Other creators
    See project
  • UNESCO Laoag KnowLab Resilient Cities, Brighter Futures Forum-Workshop

    A storm is brewing in Asia, will Philippine cities transcend beyond the narrative of trauma and disasters? Is there an alternative future for Philippine cities or would it learn from the past to innovate, act and create the preferred story?

    Are current strategies enough to transform our cities or do we need to question our assumptions now of continued economic growth and rethink our ways of knowing the city and change the way we imagine our cities and leadership from the big man rule –…

    A storm is brewing in Asia, will Philippine cities transcend beyond the narrative of trauma and disasters? Is there an alternative future for Philippine cities or would it learn from the past to innovate, act and create the preferred story?

    Are current strategies enough to transform our cities or do we need to question our assumptions now of continued economic growth and rethink our ways of knowing the city and change the way we imagine our cities and leadership from the big man rule – autocratic, corrupt and isolated to the fresh food market – pluralistic, democratic and participatory?

    These are some of the questions that the participants of the UNESCO Resilient Cities, Brighter Futures workshop explored for four days. Using anticipatory thinking and strategic foresight methods, city leaders and experts, researchers, managers, advocates, social scientists, futurists, and consultants from the different parts of the country and the world debated, deconstructed and reconstructed Philippine city futures in a Post-Haiyan era.

    The Laoag forum workshop is a part of a broader global foresight project launched by UNESCO and the Rockefeller Foundation on futures literacy and introduce foresight to decision-making, public policy and governance.

    Other creators
    See project
  • Gaming Research: Digital and Futures Research Basics

    Knowledge creation is rapid fire and the world wants it now. The digitization and automation of knowledge content, creation and distribution is changing the way we perceive and perform research. Many scholars today continue to test and create emerging research approaches to question existing realities and alternative ways of knowing.

    The mainstreaming of digital technologies, the emergence of alternative ways of knowing, peer to peer social innovations and the localization of content has…

    Knowledge creation is rapid fire and the world wants it now. The digitization and automation of knowledge content, creation and distribution is changing the way we perceive and perform research. Many scholars today continue to test and create emerging research approaches to question existing realities and alternative ways of knowing.

    The mainstreaming of digital technologies, the emergence of alternative ways of knowing, peer to peer social innovations and the localization of content has intensified the debate that question existing theoretical and research methodologies’ and their applicability to local contexts and developing economies.

    The inequality of access to knowledge, connectivity, the English bias and the hegemony of the North have, in so many ways, placed developing countries like the Philippines as recipients of their knowledge. This resulted to the inability of developing nations to create and internationalize local knowledge and content.

    Today, the intensity of creating the knowledge society is getting more intense and researchers tend to collaborate using social media tools and emerging on-line research technologies to automate the gathering, circulation and diffusion of knowledge. These communities has prototyped a variety of emerging research practices and one amongst many are digital and futures research.

    This seminar workshop aims to introduce emerging research approaches and methodologies to faculty and institutional researchers of Northwestern University.

    It aims to “game” the process of learning alternative research approaches. Gaming here means making the process more interactive, re-creative and fun. It will immerse participants to the process of “creative and experiential questioning” and expose them to the process and context of futures research method particularly scenarios and causal layered analysis.

    Other creators
    See project
  • Futures Workshop at the Liwanag World Festival on Sustainability and Creativity

    As a foresight practitioner, I was able to spot a number of off the radar ideas, scenarios and was lucky to collect some “weak signals”, “emerging issues” and “trends” that matter and that might likely grow and impact Philippine society.

    Other creators
    • Sheila Castillo
    See project
  • Strategic Foresight Course Series

    Envisioning the future is something that we all regularly do. We like to anticipate or forecast the future by creating models and scenarios rooted in the empirical and the critical. Our future outlook in most cases is shaped by our life perspectives, social contexts, and personal experiences.

    This two day workshop will impart some of the most powerful exploratory devices, concepts, and strategies in strategic futures practice. It aims to capacitate individuals and organizations to…

    Envisioning the future is something that we all regularly do. We like to anticipate or forecast the future by creating models and scenarios rooted in the empirical and the critical. Our future outlook in most cases is shaped by our life perspectives, social contexts, and personal experiences.

    This two day workshop will impart some of the most powerful exploratory devices, concepts, and strategies in strategic futures practice. It aims to capacitate individuals and organizations to explore many aspects of their future. The focus is to enable participants to design their own personal and institutional pathways and enhance their foresight capacities for adaptive response and strategic renewal in their organizations.

    The Center for Engaged Foresight, De La Salle University Manila, Futures Evocative Australia and the Gogol Project collaborates and happy to invite everyone to join and learn from each other!

    Other creators
    See project
  • Community Based Foresight Workshop for Development Specialist of the Department of Agrarian Reform

    Agrarian reform communities (ARC) face an uncertain future. Recent reports indicate that around 115 ARC all over the Philippines are facing threats from La Nina, drought, urbanization, migration, land issues due to inconsistent and unclear land policies, increasing poverty, etc. The gains that the CARP program had in the last twenty years are constantly being challenged by human (social, political, cultural and environmental) and nature-made (climate, weather) factors. Questions like what is…

    Agrarian reform communities (ARC) face an uncertain future. Recent reports indicate that around 115 ARC all over the Philippines are facing threats from La Nina, drought, urbanization, migration, land issues due to inconsistent and unclear land policies, increasing poverty, etc. The gains that the CARP program had in the last twenty years are constantly being challenged by human (social, political, cultural and environmental) and nature-made (climate, weather) factors. Questions like what is the future of agrarian reform communities considering these threats? and what is the impact of the CARP expiration to ARC communities? are some of the big questions emerging in a post-CARP Philippine agrarian decade.

    This workshop aims to introduce long-term thinking and social foresight tools and techniques to municipal agrarian reform officers, project managers, development specialists and community leaders of the Department of Agrarian Reform of the province of Ilocos Norte. The purpose is to enable participants and ARC beneficiaries to explore, anticipate and negotiate possible futures.

    Other creators
    • Rommel Aquino
    See project
  • Indigenous Community Foresight Workshop

    Recent reports and emerging trends suggest an increasing significance of indigineity to culture, development and foresight processes. The impact of indigenous communities and cultures are transforming and expanding socio-political and economic opportunities in “first peoples” nations and societies.

    The indigenous culture and the future that was narrowed down by the flattening of the world has re-emerged with greater audibility in the national and global arenas. Their voices, their…

    Recent reports and emerging trends suggest an increasing significance of indigineity to culture, development and foresight processes. The impact of indigenous communities and cultures are transforming and expanding socio-political and economic opportunities in “first peoples” nations and societies.

    The indigenous culture and the future that was narrowed down by the flattening of the world has re-emerged with greater audibility in the national and global arenas. Their voices, their images, their worldviews and myths continue to influence how people and societies create alternative images of the future.

    The indigenous foresight workshop will impart futures thinking and social foresight methods to the indigenous community of Sarangani to explore and create alternative futures.

    Other creators
    • Deo Palma
    See project
  • Strategic Foresight Course Series

    Strategic Foresight enables a deepened understanding of the landscape of potential changes, that allows proactive and flexible responses, innovations and strategies in the face of uncertainty and rapid change.

    This two day workshop will impart key concepts, methods and organizational strategies in strategic foresight that will enable participants to begin building practices for strategic renewal, adaptive response and purposeful direction setting in their organizations.

    Other creators
    See project
  • 7th Sunrise National Maharlika Artists and Writers Festival

    The 7th Sunrise Festival dubbed as Ylocosining: Hidden Treasures of the North was celebrated in the province of Ilocos Norte last year. From Nov. 24-28, the fest was held in five different venues namely Badoc, San Nicolas, Pagudpud and the cities of Laoag and Batac.

    See project
  • Scenarios on the Futures of Ilocano Language Usage

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    Other creators

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