Spain vs. France odds, prediction: 2024 Euro pick, best bet

A heavyweight battle will take place on the pitch Tuesday in the 2024 Euro tournament.

Spain comes in as slight -120 favorites to advance according to Bet365, while France is not too far off at -105 odds.

France has not yet lived up to expectations in the 2024 Euro, playing to regulation draws against the Netherlands, Poland and Belgium.

Meanwhile, Spain have played an incredible level of competition thus far, defeating Germany in extra time last time out and downing Italy in regulation during group play.

Spain has been an offensive juggernaut in this tournament, thanks to the incredible pace of their young stars, namely Lamine Yamal and Nico Williams.

It will be interesting to see whether their speed will translate against a French team that has not played their best soccer of late.

Spain vs. France odds (via Bet365)

Kylian Mbappe hasn’t been himself during Euro 2024, having removed himself prior to penalty kicks against Portugal.

Mbappe appeared to have reinjured his broken nose at the end of that match and it’s unclear if he will be inhibited in the Euro semifinal.

France is in a tough spot in this match, considering Mbappe’s health and form of late, as he’s a critical piece of their offense.

The French should look toward leaning on their defense and attempt to counterattack the young Spanish squad that could be prone to overcommitment.

It’s just tough to trust the French, considering how poor they have looked at times given the talent on their roster.

There’s a path to victory for Spain here that involves a dominant offensive showing where they run through their opposition.

France was outplayed by Portugal according to expected goals (xG), with France creating less opportunities (1.72 vs. 1.2)

Of the remaining teams, Spain is the best team by a mile in terms of xG created vs. conceded.

They are the team you should expect to see move forward through into the Euro championship.

PICK: Spain wins in regulation (+162, Bet365)