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Switzerland vs. Italy odds, prediction: Euro 2024 pick, best bet for Saturday

The Euro 2024 Round of 16 kicks off Saturday and we have some fantastic games to run through.

Opening whistles are set for Saturday at 12 p.m. ET with Switzerland vs. Italy, where the Italians are -158 favorites, according to FanDuel.

They are followed by Germany vs. Denmark at 3 p.m. ET.

These two teams haven’t squared off since the 2021 FIFA World Cup and the Italians haven’t lost to the Swiss since 1993.

This gritty Switzerland team, though, looks poised to end that streak as a live underdog Saturday.

Switzerland vs. Italy odds (via FanDuel)

  • Three-way moneyline: Switzerland (+250) | Draw (+185) | Italy (+140)
  • Switzerland (+128) | Italy (-158)

Switzerland vs. Italy prediction

(12 p.m. ET, FS1)

Italy has reached the quarterfinals in four straight Euro tournaments and is in wonderful shape to do so again this year.

Not that their trip to the Round of 16 has been without challenges.

Italy allowed Albania to get ahead with a swift goal just 23 seconds into the game in a semi-startling moment in its opener.

The Swiss are a tough out with this wild unbeaten streak.
The Swiss are a tough out with this wild unbeaten streak. Getty Images

They had Alessandro Bastoni and Nicolo Barella to clean up the mess, with both players scoring in the 11th and 16th minutes, respectively, to give Italy an advantage they would not surrender.

That result was critical as Azzuri lost to Spain, 1-0, and then tied Croatia to move through group play.

The Swiss have not lost in seven straight tournament matches and have only lost once in their last 17, a defeat to Portugal in the 2022 World Cup Round of 16.


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Switzerland is in excellent form coming into this one, and the Italians seem to be playing down to levels of competition lately.

The Swiss have constantly tied their opponents in knots, with five ties in their last nine matches.

There are no more draws at this stage; if a winner can’t be decided after 90 minutes and extra time, we go to penalty shots.

Bet on this one to go overtime as Italy will have trouble scoring on a defense that held Germany to just one goal.

PICK: 90 minutes result: Draw (+185, DraftKings)