School’s out and the Yankees have been celebrating with belly flops down the slip-and-slide throughout the second half of June.
The Bombers’ pitching staff went from holding a team ERA of 2.88 from Opening Day through June 14 to 7.24 ever since the 8-4 defeat to the Red Sox on June 15.
Nestor Cortes hasn’t been the No. 1 culprit, delivering two respectable starts during this rut.
Though let’s not forget his success has almost always come at home this year, owning a 5.57 ERA on the road.
He’s had some fluctuations on his favored fastball, exposing some predictability this season, a trend that has jacked his home run per nine innings rate up to 1.16.
The Blue Jays may have the most disappointing offense in the majors.
Nevertheless, this once-touted lineup owns the second-worst average on balls hit in play, indicating there’s potential for positive regression — especially with Vladimir Guerrero Jr. making top-10 contact.
Chris Bassitt, who has struggled using his expansive repertoire effectively amid an annual regression, faces a Yankees offense that — while having been recently inconsistent — still ranks No. 3 overall in weighted runs created (wRC+) with 117.
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Walks are an issue for Bassitt as well, but while he has gotten through most of his starts steadily, the bullpen’s inconsistencies (4.52 ERA) have ravaged his efforts.
There’s enough reason to roll on the high scoring trends to continue for these two clubs on Saturday’s matinee inside the dome.
The play: Yankees-Blue Jays Over 8 (FanDuel, -110).