Politics

Kamala for president? Few voters think Harris could win as Dems’ 2028 pick: poll

Vice President Kamala Harris is the pick of a plurality of voters to be the Democratic nominee four years from now — but barely one-third think she has any chance of winning the White House, according to a new poll.

The Politico/Morning Consult survey released Wednesday found that 21% of respondents wanted Harris to be the 2028 Democratic standard-bearer, the most of any named candidate — including California Gov. Gavin Newsom and Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg (10% each).

Another 41% said they didn’t know or had no opinion on the 2028 Democratic nominee.

Vice President Kamala Harris speaks during a Juneteenth concert on the South Lawn of the White House in Washington, Monday, June 10, 2024. AP
President Biden (center), along with second gentleman Doug Emhoff (left) and Vice President Kamala Harris, attends a Juneteenth concert on the South Lawn of the White House on June 10, 2024, in Washington, DC. Getty Images

Despite the preference for Harris, just 34% told the outlet they thought Harris was “very likely” or “somewhat likely” to win the general election, while 57% said it was either “not too likely” or “not likely at all.”

The survey also indicated that Harris, like President Biden, is suffering from poor approval ratings — with 42% of respondents saying they had a very favorable or somewhat favorable impression of the veep and 52% saying they had an unfavorable impression.

Biden had similar favorability numbers in the poll, with 43% saying they had a good impression of him and 54% saying otherwise.

Vice President Kamala Harris dances with US singer Kirk Franklin during a Juneteenth concert on the South Lawn of the White House in Washington, DC, on June 10, 2024. AFP via Getty Images
President Biden after speaking to Everytown for Gun Safety Action Fund’s “Gun Sense University,” at the Washington Hilton, Tuesday, June 11, 2024. AP

The poll further shows Harris unable to improve her standing in voters’ eyes when it comes to a number of topics and personality traits.

For example, 48% disagreed with the description of Harris as a “strong leader” (42% agreed); 49% said they didn’t trust her to handle the economy (42% said they did); 50% said they wouldn’t trust her with immigration (40% said they would); 48% showed doubts about her national security abilities (42% thought she could handle it); and 50% said she couldn’t handle relations with China or the Israeli-Palestinian conflict (just 37% and 36%, respectively, thought Harris could deal effectively with those respective issues).

Even if Harris is elected president in 2028, just 40% of voters think she would make a good commander-in-chief, while 51% predicted she would not.

People listen as Vice President Kamala Harris speaks during a Juneteenth concert on the South Lawn of the White House in Washington, Monday, June 10, 2024. AP

Voters were also split about whether Biden should replace Harris on the 2024 Democratic ticket, with 36% saying he should swap her out, 39% saying he should keep her on and 26% saying they didn’t know or had no opinion.

The Politico/Morning Consult national tracking poll surveyed 3,996 registered voters May 28-29. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 2.0 percentage points.