The Heisman race is officially a two-horse one.
It’s either Oregon’s Bo Nix or LSU’s Jayden Daniels.
Here is the updated Heisman Trophy odds board from FanDuel Sportsbook, with one week left to play.
| Player | Odds |
| Oregon QB Bo Nix | -180 |
| LSU QB Jayden Daniels | +140 |
| Washington QB Michael Penix Jr. | +1600 |
| Alabama QB Jalen Milroe | +15000 |
| Georgia QB Carson Beck | +15000 |
| Oklahoma State RB Ollie Gordon II | +20000 |
| Michigan QB J.J. McCarthy | +25000 |
| Ohio State WR Marvin Harrison Jr. | +25000 |
| Michigan RB Blake Corum | +25000 |
| LSU WR Malik Nabers | +25000 |
Both quarterbacks have compelling cases.
Nix is the offensive engine for an impossibly efficient Oregon offense, and he’s the main reason the Ducks are 11-1 and in line for a College Football Playoff appearance.
He also leads all qualified FBS quarterbacks in completion percentage (78.4%), turnover-worthy play rate (0.7%) and Pro Football Focus’s Passing grades (92.8).
Daniels has been the nation’s most prolific and efficient player.
He leads all quarterbacks in total EPA and has become the 11th quarterback ever to throw for 3,000 yards and rush for 1,000 in the same year. He’s tallied almost 5,000 total yards with 50 total touchdowns, which rivals the best seasons in FBS history.
Daniels’ case is mainly statistical, as his Tigers have lost three games.
That said, Daniels carried an abysmal defense to nine wins.
Without him, the Tigers might not be bowl-eligible.
It might not be fair to punish Daniels for being on a worse team than Nix, but that’s how the Heisman Trophy works – the award generally goes to an elite quarterback for one of the nation’s best teams, and LSU is not among the nation’s elite.
Ultimately, the award is Nix’s to lose.
If the Ducks win the Pac-12 Championship behind a solid performance from Nix, he will be the Heisman winner.
Daniels needs Nix to struggle against Washington in a loss, perhaps by throwing a few picks or failing to pile up the stats he had all year.
I highly doubt that will happen.
Washington’s defense hasn’t been that good, ranking 105th in Success Rate allowed and 55th in EPA per Play allowed.
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Against Washington earlier this year, Nix completed 33 of 44 passes (75%) for more than 330 yards at 7.7 yards per attempt with two scores.
I can’t see him flailing here.
Barring disaster, Nix will be the Heisman winner.
That said, there’s no betting value on the Heisman this late in the year and Nix is now heavily juiced in the Heisman markets.