Betting

2023 Tour Championship predictions: Odds, expert picks and favorites to win

The 2022-23 PGA Tour season will come to an end this weekend at the Tour Championship at East Lake Golf in Atlanta, Ga.

The Tour Championship is a one-of-a-kind event that features a field of 30 players using a staggered start.

In other words, every player has been assigned a starting score based on where they are in the FedEx Cup Standings before Round 1 on Thursday.

Scottie Scheffler, the FedExCup points leader after the first two Playoffs events will begin the TOUR Championship at 10-under par. Viktor Hovland, the No. 2 player, will start at 8-under.

Rory McIlroy, currently in third-place, starts at 7-under and so on, and so forth until we get to players 26-30, who begin at even par.

Here’s a look at the full field with their starting score:

10 underScottie Scheffler
8 underViktor Hovland
7 underRory McIlroy
6 underJon Rahm
5 underLucas Glover
4 underMax Homa, Patrick Cantlay, Brian Harman, Wyndham Clark, Matt Fitzpatrick
3 underTommy Fleetwood, Russell Henley, Keegan Bradley, Rickie Fowler, Xander Schauffele
2 underTom Kim, Sungjae Im, Tony Finau, Corey Conners, Si Woo Kim
1 underTaylor Moore, Nick Taylor, Adam Schenk, Collin Morikawa, Jason Day
Even parSam Burns, Emiliano Grillo, Tyrrell Hatton, Jordan Spieth, Sepp Straka
Sungjae Im of South Korea
Sungjae Im of South Korea Getty Images

While the format has its detractors and doesn’t make for great betting, bookmakers do post markets for lowest total score without the FedEx Starting Strokes.

Simply put, which player shoots the best score across the four rounds this weekend.

Tour Championship winner (without bonus strokes)
Rory Mcllroy +550
Scottie Scheffler +550
Viktor Hovland +1000
Jon Rahm +1100
Patrick Cantlay +1100
Xander Schauffele +1100
Max Homa +1400
Collin Moriikawa +2200
Russell Henley +2200
Sungjae Im +2200
Tommy Fleetwood +2200
Matt Fitzpatrick +2800
Rickie Fowler +2800
Tom Kim +2800
Brian HJarman +3300
Jordan Spieth +3300
Wyndham Clark +3300
Corey Conners +4000
Lucas Glover +4000
Sam Burns +4000
Tony Finau +4000
Jason Day +5500
Si Woo Kim +5500
Keegan Bradley +6600
Emiliano Grillo +8000
Sepp Straka +8000
Taylor Moore 125/1
Adam Schenk 150/1
Nick Taylor 200/1
Odds provided by BetMGM

Tour Championship picks (without Starting Strokes):

Sungjae Im (+2200, BetMGM)

It’s been a relatively quiet season for the omnipresent Sungjae Im, but the South Korean has seemingly picked up the pace lately.

Im finished seventh at the BMW Championship and was T6 at TPC Southwind the previous week, so he looks to be on song as we head into the season’s swan song.

Another thing Im has going for him is that this is the fifth time he’s played at East Lake and he wound up finishing runner-up to Rory McIlroy in 2022 (both with and without the bonus strokes). 

Sepp Straka of Austria
Sepp Straka of Austria R&A via Getty Images

Sepp Straka (+8000, BetMGM)

Starting at even par and 10 shots behind the leader means that Sepp Straka would need an outright miracle to win the Tour Championship, but if you wipe away the starting strokes there are reasons to believe that the 30-year-old can go low at East Lake.

Not only is Straka having a terrific summer — he won at the John Deere Classic and finished T2 at the Open Championship — but he played his college golf at Georgia and should be comfortable in these conditions.

That showed last year when the Austrian finished sixth and shot 12-under across four rounds.