The Red Sox are in a prime spot to light up the scoreboard this afternoon against the Detroit Tigers. See who our expert likes to make a big impact. Plus, FanDuel Sportsbook is making the day’s action even better by giving new customers a chance to cash in with their fantastic welcome offer.
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Rafael Devers has been tearing the cover off the ball this season. He ranks in the 94th percentile in both average exit velocity and hard-hit rate.
While his numbers on the season are very solid, Devers is due for some positive regression in the power department. His xSLG is 30 points higher than his current slugging percentage.
We should see Devers power on full display as he’ll face Matt Manning for his first few at-bats. Manning has been hit hard through ten starts this season, as is evident by his 5.06 ERA.
Looking deeper, Manning has not fooled many hitters as he comes into this start sitting in the fifth percentile in xSLG, barrel rate, and whiff rate. With his other contact metrics being just as bad, he is in trouble when Devers steps to the plate.
With Devers’ total bases prop being highly juiced, the best way to back him is to take him to go yard this afternoon.
The pick: Rafael Devers to homer +330
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