MLB

How Coors Field factor may shape your fantasy baseball draft

The prospect of playing 81 games a season at Coors Field automatically makes a player an attractive fantasy commodity. 

Before he joined the Rockies in 2022, Kris Bryant wasn’t considered a top-10 fantasy third baseman. After signing with Colorado, his stock soared and he was drafted as a top-five third baseman. (Ultimately, it was a costly pick because he played just 42 games.) 

The Coors Field Effect does, at times, make it feel like drafting a Rockies player is like playing fantasy with beer goggles — when they play at home, no one looks better, but when they’re on the road, they often look far less appealing. 

For example: C.J. Cron hit .326 in 69 games at Coors in 2021 and .303 over 73 home games in 2022. He hit .235 and .214, respectively, away from home in those two years. Brendan Rodgers hit .218 with a .588 OPS on the road last year, but hit .313 with a .875 OPS at home. Elias Diaz hit .270 with a .783 OPS at Coors Field in 2022, but hit .186 with a .517 OPS on the road. 

Splits for all Rockies players, however, are not that extreme. Look at players like Hall of Famer Larry Walker, Todd Helton, Nolan Arenado, DJ LeMahieu, Carlos Gonzalez, Michael Cuddyer, Troy Tulowitzki and Trevor Story. Their numbers at Coors were better, but they were far from useless on the road. 

Heck, Charlie Blackmon, with the Rockies since 2011, has hit .334 with a .419 slugging percentage and .949 OPS at Coors, but still owns a respectable .260 average with a .419 slugging percentage and .735 OPS on the road, 

The Coors Field factor is ultimately what makes 21-year-old shortstop Ezequiel Tovar, whom Baseball America ranks as the No. 17 prospect, so intriguing. He has not yet been crowned the Opening Day shortstop, but with an average draft position of 235.45, according to Fantasy Alarm, he has the tools and opportunity to become a late-round fantasy steal. 

Colorado Rockies rookie Ezequiel Tovar is expected to be the team’s starting shortstop this season. Getty Images

Over four seasons in the minors, Tovar showed an ability to hit for average, steal bases and provide some pop. In 283 games, he hit .284 with 31 homers, 149 RBIs, 184 runs scored, 74 stolen bases and .782 OPS. That includes hitting .318 with 13 homers, 47 RBIs, 39 runs, 17 stolen bases and a .932 OPS in 66 Double-A games last year. He also hit .287, hit 15 homers and stole 24 bases in 104 games at two levels in 2021. 

Tovar reached the majors in 2022, but played just nine games. Despite hitting .300 at Coors Field (it was just 10 at-bats), he hit .211 overall with a 25.7 percent whiff rate. It was far too small of a sample size. The same can be said about his numbers this spring. He entered Friday hitting .235 with one homer, three RBIs and a .762 OPS this spring, but one must remember that spring training stats mean about as much as receiving medical advice from a locksmith. (Proof: Edmund Sosa, who has eight career homers in 202 big-league games, entered Friday tied for the spring lead in big flies.) 

Tovar is not being drafted as your top fantasy shortstop. He is middle infield insurance who has the tools and opportunity to make an impact, especially with that hitter haven he gets to call home. Some may want to wait until Tovar proves himself or is named the starting shortstop, but Roto Rage suggests taking a shot no matter what kind of league you’re in. At his current price, you’re looking at a 20th-round selection in 12-team leagues — a perfect spot to select young player with upside. 

There are other young shortstops, including the Yankees’ Anthony Volpe (316.8), Cincinnati’s Elly De La Cruz (377.96) and Arizona’s Jordan Lawlar (544.3), who may be better than Tovar at some point, but that doesn’t matter. What matters is the fact that Tovar has the tools, the opportunity and, most importantly, Coors Field. 

Philadelphia Phillies’ Trea Turner is the No. 1 shortstop in fantasy baseball entering the 2023 season. Getty Images

Shortstop

  1. Trea Turner=Phi 
  2. Bo Bichette=Tor 
  3. Bobby Witt Jr.=KC 
  4. Francisco Lindor=NYM 
  5. Fernando Tatis Jr.=SD 
  6. Corey Seager=Tex 
  7. Oneil Cruz=Pit 
  8. Dansby Swanson=ChC 
  9. Xander Bogaerts=SD 
  10. Willy Adames=Mil 
  11. Carlos Correa=Min 
  12. Wander Franco=TB 
  13. Jeremy Peña=Hou 
  14. Tommy Edman=StL 
  15. Amed Rosario=Cle 
  16. Tim Anderson=CWS 
  17. Vaughn Grissom=Atl 
  18. Javier Baez=Det 
  19. Nico Hoerner=ChC 
  20. Ezequiel Tovar=Col 
  21. Thairo Estrada=SF 
  22. Bryson Stott=Phi 
  23. Oswald Peraza=NYY 
  24. CJ Abrams=Was 
  25. Luis Urias=Mil 
  26. Ha-Seong Kim=SD 
  27. Adalberto Mondesi=Bos 
  28. Luis Garcia=Was 
  29. Elvis Andrus=CWS 
  30. Jorge Mateo=Bal 
  31. Luis Rengifo=LAA 
  32. Joey Wendle=Mia 
  33. Kyle Farmer=Min 
  34. Brice Turang=Mil 
  35. Anthony Volpe=NYY 
  36. Brandon Crawford=SF 
  37. J.P. Crawford=Sea 
  38. Miguel Rojas=LAD 
  39. Kevin Newman=Cin 
  40. Royce Lewis=Min 
Texas Rangers’ Marcus Semien enters the 2023 baseball season as your best option at second base. Getty Images

Second base

  1. Marcus Semien=Tex 
  2. Jose Altuve=Hou 
  3. Jazz Chisholm Jr.=Mia 
  4. Ozzie Albies=Atl 
  5. Andres Gimenez=Cle 
  6. Tommy Edman=StL 
  7. Jorge Polanco=Min 
  8. Gleyber Torres=NYY 
  9. Max Muncy=LAD 
  10. Thairo Estrada=SF 
  11. Ketel Marte=Ari 
  12. Brandon Lowe=TB 
  13. Jonathan India=Cin 
  14. Jeff McNeil=NYM 
  15. Bryson Stott=Phi 
  16. Jake Cronenworth=SD 
  17. Whit Merrifield=Tor 
  18. Luis Arraez=Mia 
  19. Vaughn Grissom=Atl 
  20. Kolten Wong=Sea 
  21. Jean Segura=Mia 
  22. Brendan Rodgers=Col 
  23. Josh Rojas=Ari 
  24. Luis Urias=Mil 
  25. Christopher Morel=ChC 
  26. DJ LeMahieu=NYY 
  27. Chris Taylor=LAD 
  28. Luis Garcia=Was 
  29. Nick Gordan=Min 
  30. Aledmys Diaz=Oak 
  31. Nolan Gorman=StL 
  32. Wilmer Flores=SF 
  33. Jon Berti=Mia 
  34. Tony Kemp=Oak 
  35. Rodolfo Castro=Pit 
  36. Michael Massey=KC 
  37. Joey Wendle=Mia 
  38. Christian Arroyo=Bos 
  39. Adam Frazier=Bal 
  40. Dylan Moore=Sea 

Team Name of the Week

Third-degree Burnes