Betting

Providence vs. Kansas prediction: Take a shot on Friars

Providence continues to get “lucky,” running its way to the Sweet 16 despite recording a ShotQuality loss in both tournament games so far.

But Kansas will be a different kind of challenge. The Jayhawks are filled with blue-chip talent, particularly on offense, and are on a seven-game winning streak.

The Jayhawks didn’t look invincible against Creighton, leading by just one point with just over a minute left before pulling away.

So, can the Friars continue this “impossible” run and take advantage of the Jayhawks’ potential vulnerabilities?

I’m not sure, but I think this spread is just a tad high.

The BetMGM Logo

Claim a Risk-Free First Bet up to $1,000

New customers only. Must be 21+. AZ, CO, IA, IL, IN, LA, MI, NJ, NY, PA, TN, VA, WV, WY only. Full T&C apply.

Caesars Sportsbook Logo Square

Up to $1,250 First Bet on Caesars

New users only, 21 or older. NY, CO, DC, IA, IN, IL, MI, NV, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV only. Full T&Cs apply.

FanDuel Logo Square

$1000 No Sweat First Bet

21+. New customers only. AZ, CT, IA, IL, LA, MI, NJ, NY, PA, TN, WV, WY only. T&C apply

Barstool Sportsbook Logo

Bet up to $1,000, Get Refunded if You Lose with Promo Code NYPOST1000

21+. AZ, CO, IA, IL, IN, KS, LA, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV. T&C apply.

The BetRivers Logo

100% First Deposit Match up to $250 with promo code NYPBONUS

New players only, 21+. AZ, CO, IL, IN, LA, MI, NY, PA, VA, WV only. In order to participate in this promotion, the player needs to make a first deposit (of at least $10). Full T&C apply.

Our Action PRO Projections make Providence just a 5.5-point ’dog, and the Friars have already taken sharp money, pushing the line down from eight.

Providence will have to play in the half-court and avoid letting Kansas out in transition. But I trust Ed Cooley’s game plan here, as he’s one of the best coaches to back when catching points.


Betting on March Madness 2025?


In his career, Cooley is 135-103-2 (56.7 percent) against the spread as an underdog. Shorten that to since 2014 — the first year he took his Friars to the NCAA Tournament — and Cooley is 71-47-1 (60.2 percent) ATS as an underdog, good for a 16.3 percent ROI.

So, expect Cooley and the gritty Providence shot-makers to hang around within a few possessions in the Sweet 16. It’ll be hard for Providence to advance in this spot, but we know how the Friars perform in close games.

Anything is possible in March.

The play: Providence +7.5