In this season’s Wild Card Round of the AFC playoffs, the Buffalo Bills are the favorites, but by less than a touchdown (-4) over the New England Patriots. Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, New York will host the matchup on January 15, 2022, starting at 8:15 PM ET. An over/under of 44 points has been set for the contest.
Odds for Bills vs. Patriots
| Favorite | Spread | Over/Under |
|---|---|---|
| Bills | -4 | 44 |
Bills Betting Stats
As the Home Team
- Buffalo is 6-3 in home contests and has covered the spread four times at home.
- This season, the Bills have a 4-2-2 record ATS in home games when playing as 4-point favorites or more.
- Buffalo’s home games have hit the over on the set point total three times this year.
- The Bills and their opponents have averaged a total of 45.6 points per home contest this season, 1.6 points greater than this game’s projected total.
Last Three Games
- Buffalo covered the spread twice in its past three contests while putting up a 3-0 record straight-up in those games.
- One time in those three games, the final combined score went over the set total.
- The past three Bills games averaged 44.0 points, equal to this matchup’s over/under.
Overall Betting Stats
- Buffalo has a 9-6-2 record against the spread this season.
- The Bills have a 6-4-2 record against the spread in games they were favored by 4 points or more this season.
- Eight of Buffalo’s 17 games with a set total have hit the over (47.1%).
- Buffalo and its opponent have broken the 44-point mark nine times this season.
- Bills games average 47.4 total points per game this season, 3.4 more than the over/under for this matchup.
Patriots Betting Stats
As the Away Team
- New England has covered the spread five times on the road and is 6-2 in road contests.
- This year, the Patriots are 2-2 ATS in road games as 4-point underdogs or more.
- New England has gone over a set point total in a road game three times this year.
- The Patriots and their opponents have averaged a total of 43.4 points per road contest this year, 0.6 points fewer than this game’s posted total.
Last Three Games
- New England covered the spread once in its last three matchups while putting up a 1-2 record straight-up in those games.
- The Patriots and their opponents have hit the over in all three of those games.
- The last three Patriots games averaged 42.0 total points, 2.0 fewer points than this matchup’s over/under.
Overall Betting Stats
- New England has gone 10-7-0 ATS this season.
- When they have played as at least 4-point underdogs this season, the Patriots are 1-0 against the spread.
- Out of New England’s 17 games with a set total, nine have hit the over (52.9%).
- New England’s games have gone over 44 points on 10 occasions this season.
- This season, Patriots games have resulted in an average scoring total of 44.1, which is 0.1 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.
Over/Under Trends
| Point Scored (PG) | Points Allowed (PG) | Average Over/Under | Games Over Current O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bills | 28.4 | 17.0 | 47.4 | 9 |
| Patriots | 27.2 | 17.8 | 44.1 | 10 |
Bills Player Props
- Josh Allen has passed for 4,407 yards (409-for-646), with 36 touchdowns and 15 interceptions (259.2 yards per game). He’s also carried the ball 122 times for a team-high 763 yards and six scores, averaging 44.9 yards per game.
- Devin Singletary has churned out a team-high 870 rushing yards (51.2 per game) and seven scores.
- Stefon Diggs has 103 catches (on 164 targets) and leads the team with 1,225 receiving yards (72.1 per game) while scoring 10 touchdowns.
- Cole Beasley has also added 82 receptions (on 112 targets) for 693 yards, scoring one touchdown.
| Name | Pass Yds | Rush Yds | Rec Yds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen | 239.5 (-115) | – | – |
| Cole Beasley | – | – | 33.5 (-115) |
| Stefon Diggs | – | – | 64.5 (-115) |
| Dawson Knox | – | – | 27.5 (-110) |
| Devin Singletary | – | 59.5 (-114) | – |
Patriots Player Props
- Mac Jones has thrown for 3,801 yards while completing 67.6% of his passes, with 22 touchdowns and 13 interceptions (223.6 yards per game).
- Damien Harris has taken 202 carries for a team-leading 929 rushing yards (54.6 per game) while scoring 15 touchdowns.
- Rhamondre Stevenson has 606 yards on 133 carries (35.6 yards per game), with five rushing touchdowns.
- Jakobi Meyers has been targeted 126 times and has 83 catches, leading his team with 866 yards (50.9 per game) while hauling in two touchdowns.
- Kendrick Bourne has chipped in with 55 receptions (on 70 targets) for 800 yards and five touchdowns.
| Name | Pass Yds | Rush Yds | Rec Yds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nelson Agholor | – | – | 27.5 (-114) |
| Kendrick Bourne | – | – | 34.5 (-115) |
| Hunter Henry | – | – | 32.5 (-114) |
| Jakobi Meyers | – | – | 45.5 (-114) |
| Damien Harris | – | 57.5 (-114) | – |
| Mac Jones | 201.5 (-105) | 7.5 (-124) | – |