I didn’t have the Jets as double-digit home underdogs vs. the Bengals, and my mistake was going along with all the experts out there who said Mike White hadn’t looked very impressive in relief of Zach Wilson in the Jets’ 54-13 loss to the Patriots the week before. It’s hard to back a team off a loss like that, especially going to a backup quarterback.
Coach Rob Saleh’s Jets are again getting double digits even after upsetting the Bengals, 34-31, and I’m willing to jump on them. But I’m more interested in fading the Colts at this high number. The Colts are clearly the better team, but I have this line closer to a touchdown.
The Colts held the lowly Texans to three points three weeks ago, but they average giving up 22.9 points per game. If the Jets can get in that 20-23 range, I don’t see the Colts topping 30 points to get the cover, especially as the Jets have the pass rush to force Carson Wentz into mistakes.
The play: Jets, +10.5.