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Most polling data to this point indicate there likely will be a Donald Trump-Joe Biden rematch in the 2024 presidential election.
However, some polling in all-important Iowa indicates that some of the other candidates could be gaining some steam against the favorites, Knewz.com has learned.
The new poll by Emerson College showed Trump with 49 percent support in the Republican caucus and Biden with 50 percent support in the Democrat caucus. The numbers are down for both Trump, who was 62 percent in May, and Biden, who was at 69 percent in May.
As support has slipped for the frontrunners, that means some of the other contenders have gained ground.
In fact, all other Republican candidates besides Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis (down to 14 percent from 20 percent) and former Vice President Mike Pence (down from 5 percent to 3 percent) have increased support in the state.
Sen. Tim Scott saw his support rise from 3 percent to 8 percent, former United Nations Ambassador Nikki Haley saw an increase from 5 percent to 7 percent, businessman Vivek Ramaswamy had polls go up to 7 percent from 2 percent, North Dakota Gov. saw a rise from 1 percent to 3 percent and the category "someone else/undecided" saw a rise from 2 percent to 6 percent.
“Trump holds the majority of support among voters without a college degree, but his support decreases to 28 percent among those whose highest level of education is a college degree, and 27 percent with a postgraduate degree. Twenty-four percent of those with a college degree support DeSantis, but the Florida Governor’s support drops to 16 percent among postgraduates with Haley earning 20% of this vote," Spencer Kimball, Executive Director of Emerson College Polling, said.
Still, Trump is likely to continue to have a majority of support because of his loyal MAGA followers, Kimball said.
“Trump supporters are the most likely to stick with their candidate as 79 percent say they will definitely vote for the former President, while just 21 percent say they could change their mind,” Kimball noted. “Conversely, 71 percent of Scott voters, 70 percent of Haley, 56 percent of DeSantis and 46 percent of Ramaswamy voters say there is a chance they could change their mind and vote for a different candidate.”
Meanwhile, the rising support on the Democrat side came from people preferring someone who had not declared for the race. The category of "someone else/undecided" saw a rise from 10 percent to 34 percent.
Like Biden, other declared Democratic candidates - Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and author Marianne Williamson - saw their support drop 2 percent (from 11 to 9) and 3 percent (from 10 to 7), respectively.
“Biden has lost some support in the Democratic caucus, with a large number of voters being undecided,” Kimball said. “Young voters and women voters are two groups who have lower support for Biden than their counterparts: only 38 percent of Democratic voters under 30 support Biden in a caucus, and 41 percent of women are undecided.”
Despite both Trump and Biden seeing declining numbers in Iowa, they remain clear frontrunners in the state.
“While both Biden and Trump have lost some support in Iowa, it does not appear that any other candidate has been able to emerge as a clear alternative. Republicans saw DeSantis fall back into the pack, as the vote splintered amongst a crowded field, and Kennedy and Williamson have failed to gain traction in Iowa," Kimball said.
