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U.S. Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin shakes hands with Cambodian Prime Minister Hun Manet during a meeting at the Peace Palace in Phnom Penh, Cambodia, on June 4.
U.S. Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin shakes hands with Cambodian Prime Minister Hun Manet during a meeting at the Peace Palace in Phnom Penh, Cambodia, on June 4.

How the West Embraced Cambodia’s New Prime Minister

Hun Manet may appear more friendly and even-keeled than his father, but political repression continues apace.

Analysis
Fiona Kelliher
A worker in a reflective vest and hard hat leans against the wheel of a truck used in nickel mining. The vehicle is massive, and the wheel alone is four or feet taller than the worker. The vehicle is parked on an expanse of packed dirt, but rocks and some vegetation are visible in the background.
A worker in a reflective vest and hard hat leans against the wheel of a truck used in nickel mining. The vehicle is massive, and the wheel alone is four or feet taller than the worker. The vehicle is parked on an expanse of packed dirt, but rocks and some vegetation are visible in the background.

Why a Small Pacific Island Territory Is Upending Nickel Prices

Violent riots in New Caledonia are having an outsized global impact on critical mineral supply chains.

Report
Rishi Iyengar
Tuvaluan Prime Minister Kausea Natano speaks at a podium during the COP28 climate conference in Dubai. Natano is a middle-aged man wearing glasses, a black suit, and a tie with the flag of his country printed on it. Behind him are the flags of the United Nations and the United Arab Emirates.
Tuvaluan Prime Minister Kausea Natano speaks at a podium during the COP28 climate conference in Dubai. Natano is a middle-aged man wearing glasses, a black suit, and a tie with the flag of his country printed on it. Behind him are the flags of the United Nations and the United Arab Emirates.

The Deal That Exposes the Global North’s Flawed Approach to Climate Migration

A recent agreement between Australia and Tuvalu reveals the unfairness of incrementalism.

Argument
Clare Francis
A collage illustration showing U.S. President Joe Biden and leaders from Australia, India, Japan, Taiwan, the Philippines, and Vietnam, walking along a bright red landscape in front of a textural map of the Indo-Pacific region
A collage illustration showing U.S. President Joe Biden and leaders from Australia, India, Japan, Taiwan, the Philippines, and Vietnam, walking along a bright red landscape in front of a textural map of the Indo-Pacific region

America’s Indo-Pacific Alliances Are Astonishingly Strong

Countries are balancing against China—just like a student of international relations would predict.

Analysis
Derek Grossman
U.S. President Joe Biden (R) meets with Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese (L) during the AUKUS summit at Naval Base Point Loma in San Diego, California, on March 13, 2023.
U.S. President Joe Biden (R) meets with Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese (L) during the AUKUS summit at Naval Base Point Loma in San Diego, California, on March 13, 2023.

The Year-End AUKUS Push

Remember that nuclear submarine deal with Australia?

Situation Report
Jack Detsch, Robbie Gramer, Rishi Iyengar
U.S. President Joe Biden, wearing a black suit and sunglasses, is seen from behind as he listens to Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese as he stands at a podium and speaks into a microphone. The sky behind the men is blue, and the corner of a building is visible behind them.
U.S. President Joe Biden, wearing a black suit and sunglasses, is seen from behind as he listens to Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese as he stands at a podium and speaks into a microphone. The sky behind the men is blue, and the corner of a building is visible behind them.

The U.S. Can’t Lead on Quantum Computing Alone

Winning the race to develop this critical technology will require a little help from friends.

Argument
Bronte Munro
Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese, U.S. President Joe Biden, and British Prime Minister Rishi Sunak hold a press conference during the AUKUS summit on March 13 in San Diego, California.
Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese, U.S. President Joe Biden, and British Prime Minister Rishi Sunak hold a press conference during the AUKUS summit on March 13 in San Diego, California.

Why AUKUS Is in Danger of Stalling

Australia is not taking its defense commitments seriously.

Argument
John Lee
Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi shakes the hand of Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau ahead of the G-20 summit in New Delhi on Sept. 9.
Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi shakes the hand of Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau ahead of the G-20 summit in New Delhi on Sept. 9.

Rift With Canada Puts Spotlight on India’s Security Services

Trudeau’s accusations suggest New Delhi’s intelligence operatives could lead it down a dark path.

Analysis
Sushant Singh
An illustration shows two large hands with pinky fingers — and their own tiny hand tips — extended in a small handshake for a story about minilateral alliances.
An illustration shows two large hands with pinky fingers — and their own tiny hand tips — extended in a small handshake for a story about minilateral alliances.

The Nimble New Minilaterals

Small coalitions are a smart alternative to cumbersome multilateralism and formal alliances.

Analysis
C. Raja Mohan
Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg , and Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida, all men wearing dark suits, stand behind a table and look to the side at other participants at the NATO summit. Small Australian and Japanese flags sit on the table.
Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg , and Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida, all men wearing dark suits, stand behind a table and look to the side at other participants at the NATO summit. Small Australian and Japanese flags sit on the table.

NATO Is on the Back Foot in the Indo-Pacific

By exploiting an information vacuum about its intentions, China is setting the region against the Western alliance.

Argument
Lynn Kuok
An Australian flag flies in a bright but cloudy day in front of the Great Hall of the People in Beijing, a building with stone columns and carved floral ornamentation, as well as a circular red and gold crest.
An Australian flag flies in a bright but cloudy day in front of the Great Hall of the People in Beijing, a building with stone columns and carved floral ornamentation, as well as a circular red and gold crest.

The China-Australia Relationship Is Still Close to the Rocks

Canberra’s diplomatic maneuverings can’t undo fundamental differences.

Argument
Misha Zelinsky
U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken and Papua New Guinean Defense Minister Win Bakri Daki shake hands as Papua New Guinean Prime Minister James Marape looks on after the two countries signed a security agreement in Port Moresby, Papua New Guinea, on May 22.
U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken and Papua New Guinean Defense Minister Win Bakri Daki shake hands as Papua New Guinean Prime Minister James Marape looks on after the two countries signed a security agreement in Port Moresby, Papua New Guinea, on May 22.

America Is Winning Against China in Oceania

There is less to Beijing’s security gains in the Pacific than meets the eye.

Analysis
Derek Grossman
Asian Development Bank President Masatsugu Asakawa and Malaysian Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim pose for group photos during the 15th Indonesia-Malaysia-Thailand Growth Triangle Summit, occurring on the sidelines of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) Summit in Labuan Bajo, Indonesia, on May 11.
Asian Development Bank President Masatsugu Asakawa and Malaysian Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim pose for group photos during the 15th Indonesia-Malaysia-Thailand Growth Triangle Summit, occurring on the sidelines of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) Summit in Labuan Bajo, Indonesia, on May 11.

The Indo-Pacific Has Already Chosen Door No. 3

So-called fence-sitters are rejecting zero-sum geopolitical binaries in favor of multi-alignment.

Argument
Kelly A. Grieco, Jennifer Kavanagh
Indonesian President Joko Widodo greets U.S. President Joe Biden at the G-20 summit in Bali, Indonesia, on Nov. 16, 2022.
Indonesian President Joko Widodo greets U.S. President Joe Biden at the G-20 summit in Bali, Indonesia, on Nov. 16, 2022.

ASEAN and the Quad Inch Closer Together

Southeast Asian skepticism toward the foursome is softening.

Analysis
Sharon Seah, Kei Koga
From left: Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese, U.S. President Joe Biden, and British Prime Minister Rishi Sunak hold a press conference after a trilateral meeting in San Diego on March 13.
From left: Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese, U.S. President Joe Biden, and British Prime Minister Rishi Sunak hold a press conference after a trilateral meeting in San Diego on March 13.

AUKUS Gets Awkward Down Under

A controversy threatens to blow the alliance’s nuclear submarine deal out of the water.

Report
Maddison Connaughton
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