Emmy predix: Who will win best lead and supporting actor in a comedy?

Image Credit: Sonja Fleming/CBS; Patrick Ecclesine/Fox; Bob D’Amico/ABC; Justin Lubin/NBCHere’s where my 2010 Emmy handicapping starts to get interesting. And by interesting I mean challenging. And by challenging I mean tough. And by tough I mean damn near impossible. All 12 of the nominees in the best lead and supporting actor comedy races can easily make a case for winning come Aug. 29. But only two will. So it’s with great fear and trepidation that I present you with part 3 of my pre-Emmy analysis.

OUTSTANDING ACTOR IN A COMEDY

Larry David (Curb Your Enthusiasm)

Alec Baldwin (30 Rock)

Matthew Morrison (Glee)

Steve Carell (The Office)

Jim Parsons (The Big Bang Theory)

Tony Shalhoub (Monk)

The Frontrunner: Parsons. The on and off-screen genius should have taken home the gold last year. Better late than never.

The Dark Horse: Carell. It hurts my insides to think that Carell has never won an Emmy for playing Michael Scott. News of his impending exit may have voters thinking it’s now or never.

Most Egregious Snub: Joel McHale (Community). I blame Shalhoub for robbing McHale of his rightful place in the best actor race. His Community work warrants an A+. And I swear I’m not just saying that because I went to first base with him at Comic-Con. I swear.

Other Notable Omissions: Jay Harrington (Better Off Ted) and Zachary Levi (Chuck).

OUTSTANDING SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A COMEDY

Chris Colfer (Glee)

Neil Patrick Harris (How I Met Your Mother)

Jesse Tyler Ferguson (Modern Family)

Jon Cryer (Two and A Half Men)

Eric Stonestreet (Modern Family)

Ty Burrell (Modern Family)

The Frontrunner: Burrell. Any of the Modern men could stake claim to the statue, but I’m thinking Burrell’s clueless shtick will win over the majority of voters.

The Dark Horse: Colfer. I would’ve picked Colfer as the frontrunner, but his standout Glee scenes were more dramatic than comedic. Still, he’s the sentimental favorite.

Most Egregious Snub: Nick Offerman (Parks and Recreation). The mustache alone should’ve snagged him a nod.

Other Notable Omissions: Ed O’Neill (Modern Family), John Krasinski (The Office), Michael Urie (Uglt Betty), and Danny Pudi (Community).

More Emmy Analysis:

Ausiello predicts best lead and supporting actor in a drama

Ausiello predicts best lead and supporting actress in a drama

Ken Tucker predicts best lead and supporting actor in a drama

Lynette Rice breaks down the episode submissions