MLB best bets: Yankees vs. Reds odds, picks, predictions for Wed. 7/3

Yankees vs. Reds Odds

Wednesday, July 3, 7:05 p.m. ET, Amazon Prime Video

Odds via FanDuel. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.

New York Yankees

For the second consecutive season, Rodon has struggled out of the gates. He possesses a 4.42 ERA and 1.26 WHIP through 17 starts on the mound.

His underlying metrics are even worse. Rodon owns a 4.62 xERA and ranks in the 16th percentile or lower in average exit velocity, barrel rate and hard-hit rate.

Following the southpaw is a bullpen that is primed for regression. Despite ranking 12th in ERA, New York's relief staff ranks 20th in FIP and 22nd in xFIP.

Cincinnati Reds

Meanwhile, Cincinnati possesses the clear starting pitching advantage with Abbott. He outranks Rodon in ERA, WHIP, xERA, xBA, average exit velocity, barrel rate and hard-hit rate.

Following the southpaw is one of the league's best bullpens. The Reds' relief staff ranks in the top 12 of the league in ERA, FIP and xFIP.

Cincinnati's lineup doesn't quite stack up to New York's, and that's why we are catching such a generous price in its moneyline. It's also not like this Reds lineup can't put up runs, considering that it ranks in the top half of the league in runs scored per game.

Yankees vs. Reds

Betting Pick & Prediction

When looking at this matchup, there is no doubting that New York's lineup is superior to Cincinnati's. With that said, I think that the gap between the two doesn't outweigh the fact the Reds possess the stronger starting pitcher and bullpen in this matchup.

Abbott outranks Rodon in every single key statistic and metric across the board. Meanwhile, Cincinnati's bullpen outranks the Yankees' in ERA, FIP and xFIP.

Considering these variables, it is worth taking a shot on the road 'dogs at +160.

Pick: Reds ML (+160 at DraftKings | Play to +150)