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. 2013 Oct;42(5):1358-70.
doi: 10.1093/ije/dyt172. Epub 2013 Sep 24.

Prenatal alcohol exposure and offspring cognition and school performance. A 'Mendelian randomization' natural experiment

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Prenatal alcohol exposure and offspring cognition and school performance. A 'Mendelian randomization' natural experiment

Luisa Zuccolo et al. Int J Epidemiol. 2013 Oct.

Abstract

Background: There is substantial debate as to whether moderate alcohol use during pregnancy could have subtle but important effects on offspring, by impairing later cognitive function and thus school performance. The authors aimed to investigate the unconfounded effect of moderately increased prenatal alcohol exposure on cognitive/educational performance.

Methods: We used mother-offspring pairs participating in the Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children (ALSPAC) and performed both conventional observational analyses and Mendelian randomization using an ADH1B variant (rs1229984) associated with reduced alcohol consumption. Women of White European origin with genotype and self-reported prenatal alcohol consumption, whose offspring's IQ score had been assessed in clinic (N=4061 pairs) or Key Stage 2 (KS2) academic achievement score was available through linkage to the National Pupil Database (N=6268), contributed to the analyses.

Results: Women reporting moderate drinking before and during early pregnancy were relatively affluent compared with women reporting lighter drinking, and their children had higher KS2 and IQ scores. In contrast, children whose mothers' genotype predisposes to lower consumption or abstinence during early pregnancy had higher KS2 scores (mean difference +1.7, 95% confidence interval +0.4, +3.0) than children of mothers whose genotype predisposed to heavier drinking, after adjustment for population stratification.

Conclusions: Better offspring cognitive/educational outcomes observed in association with prenatal alcohol exposure presumably reflected residual confounding by factors associated with social position and maternal education. The unconfounded Mendelian randomization estimates suggest a small but potentially important detrimental effect of small increases in prenatal alcohol exposure, at least on educational outcomes.

Keywords: Alcohol dehydrogenase; Mendelian randomization analysis; causality; cognition; confounding factors; educational measurement; ethanol; pregnancy.

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Figures

Figure 1
Figure 1
Mendelian randomization model assumptions. 1: the ADH1B genotype (rs1229984) is associated with maternal alcohol consumption. 2: there is no association between the genotype and confounding factors. 3: the genotype does not affect the outcome by any path other than maternal alcohol consumption. By testing the maternal ADH1B-offspring outcome association, we are testing the association between maternal alcohol use and offspring outcomes, provided that the assumptions hold
Figure 2
Figure 2
Box plots showing the distribution of children’s IQ at age 8 years and Key Stage 2 scores at age 11 years by levels of maternal self-reported alcohol consumption before, during pregnancy (in first trimester) and after pregnancy (8 months post-delivery). Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children, 1991–92. Alcohol consumption categories 1: 0 units/week, 2: <1 unit per week, 3: 1–6 units per week, 4: 7+ units per week

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