Mets vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 9

Updated Jul. 9, 2024 7:00 p.m. ET

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The New York Mets and Brandon Nimmo will take the field against the Washington Nationals and Luis Garcia on Tuesday at 7:10 PM ET in the first game of a five-game series at Citi Field. The favored Mets have -137 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Nationals, who are listed at +117. New York is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The total is 8.5 runs for the game.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mets-Nationals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Cardinals vs. Nationals Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the St. Louis Cardinals and the Washington Nationals on Monday, July 8.

Mets vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds

• When: Tuesday, July 9, 2024 at 7:10 PM ET
• Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
• How to Watch on TV: MASN

Mets vs. Nationals Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mets 5, Nationals 4
• Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 55%, Nationals 45%

Mets vs. Nationals Betting Insights

• This season, the Mets have won 23 out of the 44 games, or 52.3%, in which they've been favored.
• New York is 8-8 this season when entering a game favored by -137 or more on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mets have a 57.8% chance to win.
• The Nationals have come away with 33 wins in the 74 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Washington has a mark of 24-35 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +117 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 46.1% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

FINAL

WSH 5 · NYM 7

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Washington Nationals

WSH

+1.5

+119

o8.5

New York Mets

NYM

-1.5

-139

u8.5

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets went 4-4 across the eight games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups, the Mets and their opponents combined to hit the over on the run total six times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Mets are 3-7-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Francisco Lindor is batting .248 with 26 doubles, 15 home runs and 28 walks.
• Of all hitters in MLB, Lindor ranks 29th in home runs and 47th in RBI.
• Nimmo has a club-leading 55 runs batted in and .252 batting average.
• Nimmo ranks 36th in home runs in the majors, and 20th in RBI.
• Nimmo carries a three-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .316 with a double, a home run, two walks and three RBI.
• Pete Alonso has racked up a team-high 18 home runs.
• Harrison Bader is batting .272 with 15 doubles, six home runs and 13 walks.
• Bader takes a three-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .250 with a double and an RBI.

Mets Team Props

Learn more about this Mets vs. Nationals matchup on Fox Sports.

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

• In eight games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Nationals have a record of 3-5.
• The Nationals and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Nationals have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Nationals Recent Stats

Nationals Player Insights

• C.J. Abrams paces the Nationals with 14 home runs and 46 runs batted in, while recording a team-best batting average of .279.
• In all of MLB, Abrams ranks 36th in homers and 41st in RBI.
• Jesse Winker has 17 doubles, 10 home runs and 46 walks while batting .271.
• Among all MLB hitters, Winker ranks 93rd in home runs and 71st in RBI.
• Garcia is hitting .274 with 15 doubles, 10 home runs and 14 walks.
• Lane Thomas is batting .245 with 10 doubles, three triples, eight home runs and 21 walks.

Nationals Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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MLB - Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets - 07/09/2024