Guardians vs. Tigers Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 9

Updated Jul. 9, 2024 6:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Cleveland Guardians and Josh Naylor will square off against the Detroit Tigers and Matthew Vierling on Tuesday at 6:40 PM ET, in the second of a four-game series at Comerica Park. The Tigers are +116 moneyline underdogs for this matchup against the Guardians (-137). Cleveland is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The over/under for the contest has been set at 8.5 runs.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Guardians-Tigers game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Guardians' Brayan Rocchio makes a risky error, causing Tigers' Jake Rodgers to score

Cleveland Guardians' Brayan Rocchio made a risky error, causing Detroit Tigers' Jake Rodgers to score.

Guardians vs. Tigers Game Information & Odds

When: Tuesday, July 9, 2024 at 6:40 PM ET
Where: Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan
How to Watch on TV: BSDET

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Guardians	-137	+116	8.5	-105	-114	-1.5	+119	-141

Guardians vs. Tigers Prediction

Score Prediction: Guardians 6, Tigers 5
Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Guardians 51%, Tigers 49%

Guardians vs. Tigers Betting Insights

The Guardians have won 41, or 68.3%, of the 60 games they've played as favorites this season.
Cleveland is 16-11 this season when entering a game favored by -137 or more on the moneyline.
The Guardians have a 57.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
The Tigers have been victorious in 22, or 44.9%, of the 49 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
This season, Detroit has been victorious 10 times in 23 chances when named as an underdog of at least +116 or longer on the moneyline.
The Tigers have an implied victory probability of 46.3% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

The Guardians have a 5-3 record from the eight games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
In their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Guardians combined with their opponents to go over the run total seven times.
The Guardians' ATS record is 2-8-0 over their past 10 games.

Guardians Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	4.1
HR	11
ERA	5.07
K/9	9.4

Guardians Player Insights

Jose Ramirez is the Guardians best power hitter, connecting on 23 homers this season in addition to accumulating 76 RBI, both team highs.
Of all hitters in MLB, Ramirez is fourth in home runs and second in RBI.
Naylor has 16 doubles, 21 home runs and 31 walks while hitting .241.
Naylor is eighth in home runs in baseball, and fifth in RBI.
Steven Kwan paces the Guardians with a .358 batting average.
Andres Gimenez is hitting .250 with 12 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 15 walks.
Gimenez is riding a four-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is batting .316 with three RBI.

Guardians Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Angel Martinez	0.5 (-215)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+850)	0.5 (+195)
Jhonkensy Noel	0.5 (-265)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+145)
Andrés Giménez	1.5 ()	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+900)	0.5 (+195)
José Ramírez	1.5 (+170)	1.5 (-115)	0.5 (+425)	0.5 (+115)
Brayan Rocchio	0.5 (-230)	1.5 (+155)	0.5 (+1100)	0.5 (+205)

Learn more about this Guardians vs. Tigers matchup on Fox Sports.

Tigers Recent Betting Performance

In seven games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Tigers have a record of 5-2.
When it comes to hitting the over, the Tigers and their opponents are 5-4-1 in their last 10 games with a total.
The Tigers have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Tigers Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	4.5
HR	16
ERA	4.33
K/9	9.6

Tigers Player Insights

Riley Greene paces the Tigers with 17 home runs and 45 runs batted in, while recording a team-high batting average of .258.
Greene's home run total places him 18th in MLB, and he is 47th in RBI.
Vierling is batting .245 with 11 doubles, five triples, 11 home runs and 15 walks.
Vierling is currently 78th in homers and 115th in RBI in the big leagues.
Mark Canha has 14 doubles, six home runs and 36 walks while batting .223.
Wenceel Perez is hitting .262 with 11 doubles, five triples, five home runs and 20 walks.

Tigers Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Colten Keith	1.5 (+185)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+200)
Riley Greene	0.5 (-230)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+190)
Matthew Vierling	1.5 (+165)	1.5 (-105)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+170)
Carson Kelly	0.5 (-235)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+160)
Javier Báez	0.5 (-235)	1.5 (+145)	0.5 (+750)	0.5 (+200)